In an appearance on MSNBC earlier today, Senior White House Adviser David Axelrod called the NY-23 special election -- in which a Democrat beat a Conservative Party candidate after the moderate Republican nominee dropped out and supported the Democrat in the wake of prominent Republicans defecting to the Conservative -- "a great referendum on national issues." Axelrod also downplayed the importance of big GOP wins in the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial elections yesterday.
Axelrod first emphasized the importance of the Democrats' win in the NY-23 race. Whereas the New Jersey race was "a referendum on the incumbent" largely "based on local issues," NY-23 was the only race "where national issues were really at play."
"Conservative Republicans, Governor Palin and others, came and purged a moderate Republican candidate, essentially replaced [her] with a conservative candidate, and they lost the seat." This marks the first time in 140 years that a Democrat has won that seat, and "I think there is a harbinger there," said Axelrod.
He also downplayed the significance of New Jersey and Virginia exit polls, which showed that support for Obama among Independents has dropped. He attributed this to low turnout, and said that "fewer people are identifying themselves as Republicans today," but are instead identifying as Independents that "still behave like Republicans" in races like these.
Axelrod was similarly unfazed by what these outcomes mean for 2010: "When we campaign on a positive progressive platform," Democratic candidates are "going to do very well, even in hardcore Republican territory."
He concluded: "I sure wouldn't draw too many conclusions from two state-wide races with their own unique sets of circumstances."

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ericf
November 4, 2009 2:38 PM
If there's a warning for Democrats in the results, it's that voters concerned about the economy voted Republican. That suggests we've reached a point where Obama is getting the blame for economic problems. I doubt Bush has been exonerated, but Obama is getting some of the blame, so here's pressure for a clear turnaround by next election day.
The good news is that if the economy is indeed turning around, 2010 might not be all the Republicans are hoping. Also, it should help those of us who want stronger financial reform to make our case. Remind the DC Democrats what happened to a governor who used to work for Goldman Sachs. Time to get serious with the big financial corporations. Real reform would take advantage of the cross-ideological disgust at Wall Street and be an election winner.
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rynato
November 4, 2009 10:19 PM
Axelrod is not spinning, he has it just right.
VA was a state race with a lousy Democratic candidate.
NJ was a state race with a lousy GOP candidate whose chief virtue seemed to be that he wasn't the incumbent Democrat.
I don't know if Obama and Axelrod planned it this way, but picking John McHugh (whose vacancy in NY-23 the election was intended to fill) as Secretary of the Army sure looks brilliant.
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