On Meet the Press yesterday, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) said the Senate health care bill won't make it out of the Senate as is.
"I don't think anybody feels this bill, as Senator Reid put it down, though he made a lot of progress in blending bills together -- I don't think anybody thinks that this bill will pass," Lieberman said.
On Saturday night, the Senate voted 60-39 to begin debate on the health care bill. Lieberman joined the Democratic caucus in voting yes to begin debate -- but emphasized the next morning on Meet the Press that he won't vote any bill with a public health insurance option off the Senate floor.
Essentially every amendment is subject to a filibuster and will take 60 votes to pass. My only resort, and every other senator -- and there'll be others who feel exactly the way I do about the public option -- if the public option is still in there, the only resort we have is to say no at the end to reporting the bill off the floor.
Here's the video:

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stevelaudig
November 23, 2009 8:42 AM
Senator Lieberman now has a lot in common with Democratic Senators from the Old South in the 40s, 50s and 60s except it is health care rather than civil rights. Strom Lieberman.
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screaminmeme
November 23, 2009 8:52 AM in reply to stevelaudig
That is an interesting observation. Valid, too, I think.
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Prof Wagstaff
November 23, 2009 8:48 AM
And I don't think anybody thinks that this worm will win reelection.
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IMNOTBITTER
November 23, 2009 9:58 AM in reply to Prof Wagstaff
Including himself. there is no way this self serving creature is going to run for reelection. He will take his concubine of the insurance companies Sadasha and go off to a corner office in some insurance tower and dream of the days when he was able to get an erection without drugs!
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Winston Smith
November 23, 2009 8:53 AM
Fuck you, Joe.
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tonigo
November 23, 2009 8:56 AM
Sadly, Droopy Dog is right. Nelson, Landrieu, Lincoln and Droopy won't support any bill with a public option (nor will Republicans like Snowe and Collins). And if the public option is pulled, the progressive Senators (i.e., the true Democrats) won't support the bill. Reid is between the proverbial rock and a hard place. If he can pull off passing a bill with some meaning to it, I will be pretty impressed.
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lousgirl84
November 23, 2009 9:56 AM in reply to tonigo
It's time for reconcilliation - even with its drawbacks.
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hallam
November 23, 2009 11:42 AM in reply to tonigo
It does not make any difference what Lieberman thinks. While he is technically true that the final bill is likely to be different, it is not necessarily going to be more favorable to his agenda.
He is completely wrong in his claim that any amendment can be filibustered. The Majority controls floor time and if an amendment is being filibustered they can simply pull it from the floor.
At the end of the day, any filibuster would be on a motion of the Democrats choosing: a motion to change the rules of the Senate. That only requires a simple majority and the cloture rule is 2/3rds of Senators present and voting. So its not true that the pain of the filibuster would only fall on the Democrats, the GOP would have to keep 30 Senators in the Captiol building the whole time as well.
If the Democrats ride out a filibuster they will timetable all the remaining stages of the bill and the holdouts loose their leverage completely. At that point it is a 50+Biden game and everything is back on the table.
Instead what will happen is that after a couple of days there will be a couple of GOP defections and Reid will get cloture.
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jolly ranchero
November 23, 2009 9:06 AM
He's right. The Dems are far too splintered in ideology to pass anything significant, whether it be health care, climate change, ect. It sucks that a bunch of red state Dems can kill this, but when the Republicans vote in unison on everything, this is what happens.
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tonigo
November 23, 2009 11:09 AM in reply to jolly ranchero
Well like Will Rogers said, "I belong to no organized party; I'm a Democrat."
I really don't get Droopy's opposition. Yes, I know he's in the pocket of the insurance companies but Connecticut is a pretty blue state. I guess he wants to go out with a final FU to Connecticut Democrats.
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Silence
November 23, 2009 9:22 AM
"Fewer In U.S. See Health Coverage as Gov’t Responsibility"
http://www.gallup.com/video/124256/government-responsibility-healthcare.aspx
"Wave of Debt Payments Facing U.S. Government"
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/23/business/23rates.html
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de TOQUEville
November 23, 2009 9:39 AM in reply to Silence
We know that health insurance reform will help reduce annual deficits... the health care status quo reinforces the grim fiscal situation.
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 9:43 AM in reply to de TOQUEville
Economists and other educated professionals may say the bill reduces annual deficits, but fanatical conservatives driven by a singular desire to destroy Obama say it does not. Who to believe, who to believe...
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Odel Roo
November 23, 2009 10:12 AM in reply to de TOQUEville
Really? How so?
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 10:33 AM in reply to Odel Roo
It increases revenue.
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 9:40 AM in reply to Silence
And since the Senate bill cuts the deficit by over a hundred billion dollars, that's a good reason to pass it.
In other news, 72% of Americans support Congress' version of the public option:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/hp/ssi/wpc/postpoll_111609.html
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Odel Roo
November 23, 2009 10:16 AM in reply to Stroszek
"The CBO assumes billions in savings from changes in Medicare and other government health programs. The savings and tax revenues, the CBO forecasts, would more than offset anticipated costs for subsidies for those who can't afford coverage and additional spending on Medicaid and the children's health program.
The CBO warned, however, that the committee's work hasn't yet been converted into legislative language. The panel works from conceptual language, with details to come later.
Those details, CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf said, "could lead to significant changes in the estimates of the proposal's effects on the federal budget and insurance coverage.""
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 10:32 AM in reply to Odel Roo
That quote is from a two month old article about the "chairman's mark" for the Senate Finance Committee's bill. That bill has since been converted to legislative language, merged into a formal piece of legislation with the other Senate bill which has been scored by the CBO. Your response, in other words, is irrelevant.
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Odel Roo
November 23, 2009 10:51 AM in reply to Stroszek
You are right... but I will add that this is IN BOTH of the CBO reports and are very important.
"Those estimates are all subject to substantial uncertainty."
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Odel Roo
November 23, 2009 10:53 AM in reply to Stroszek
These bills both have close to a 1/2 trillion cuts from medicare. Do you really in all honesty think that any thing more than a fraction of the estimated cuts will actually take place?
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 11:03 AM in reply to Odel Roo
Yes, I do, and I find it hypocritical for those feigning concern about the deficit to advocate against any attempt at reducing the deficit out of defeatist fatalism.
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Stroszek
November 23, 2009 11:08 AM in reply to Stroszek
And contrary to popular opinion (even among my friends on the left), CBO often overestimates the cost of bills. Bush's much-maligned Medicare Part D has been significantly cheaper than the original CBO estimates, so the "uncertainty" cuts both ways. It could also be the case that CBO's relatively conservative, restrictive economic models are underestimating potential cost reduction mechanisms in this bill.
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rxbusa
November 23, 2009 9:26 AM
Please remind me of the last time Droopy Dog Joe was factually correct about anything?
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jeevmon
November 23, 2009 9:51 AM in reply to rxbusa
Doesn't matter. Because, you see, Joe Lieberman is a Very Serious Person. He is Very Serious about health care, because he strongly believes that we cannot afford to provide insurance to everyone and that it would be un-American to do so even if it were affordable. He is Very Serious about foreign policy, because he understands that the Serious position on foreign policy involves the use of military force whenever possible, because diplomacy is the path of the Neville Chamberlains of the world who simply do not understand how Serious the issues are.
Because Joe is a Very Serious Person, his opinion must be given controlling weight in any debate on anything.
("Serious" and "Very Serious" are probably originally from Digby or Greenwald, but they may well have pulled it from somewhere else.)
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wial
November 23, 2009 9:37 AM
is there any chance they can go to reconciliation with a stronger bill than they have now, if they don't need the senators from Moronia? Obviously they can't get 60 votes, so why even bother with the anti-human crowd now? The good guys have bent over backwards, done their due dilligence, and they've been slapped for it by truly despicable, corrupt politicians like the Senator from the Owners of Joe Lieberman's Wife. Other cheek turned, let's do something right for the American people!
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IMNOTBITTER
November 23, 2009 9:53 AM in reply to wial
ITs time to NUKE these guys. Screw em. If we have to take the option that moves this forward without the 60 votesfor cloture, then so be it. LIEberman and his concubine for the insurance companies can quit the Senate and go work for the blood sucking Insurance companies.
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lousgirl84
November 23, 2009 9:58 AM in reply to wial
I think it is time for reconciliation and get a bill with a public option that gets people insured right away.
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Cool Blue Reason
November 23, 2009 11:08 AM in reply to lousgirl84
Agreed -- the key is to make it clear to these fuckers that the 50+Biden vote reconciliation bill will hurt them a lot more than what is currently on the table for 60.
If Reid doesn't have the balls for that, I'm starting to think that we should try for some kind of "grand compromise" that cuts out Lieberman and brings in the senators from Maine. Yes, I'm talking about a "trigger."
The key is to make sure that as part of the grand compromise, the PO on the other side of the trigger is "robust" (i.e., available to all and tied to Medicare rates).
Then make the trigger mechanism as real as possible and as sensitive as possible. If that is the way it is structured, with a robust PO on the other end, it will be a Sword of Damocles hanging over the heads of the insurance companies in the coming years.
As much as we all instinctively want to try to go for a PO from "day one" (meaning 5 years from now), I think the PO we are likely to get will be a "P.O.S." Not only that, but the insurance companies would no doubt take the next 5 years as an opportunity to gouge the public and blame it on the HCR law in an attempt to have Congress repeal it post 2010, 2012, 2014, etc. -- or at least scale it back further.
A "hair trigger" with a robust PO on the other end of it would have a chance of avoiding that outcome, and could lead to substantively better outcomes overall, whether or not it is triggered. If our objective is to create a PO that would disrupt the market power of the insurance industry, a triggered PO could actually create leverage that is effective from the day HCR is signed, as opposed to years from now when a non-triggered PO actually goes into effect (and if the non-triggered PO is so watered down that it can't disrupt the insurance companies' market power anyway, the entire thing will be moot).
In sum, if we blow our wad now on a watered-down PO, our leverage will have peaked, and the usual suspects will spend the next 5 or so years chipping away at even this modest edifice we will have erected. On the other hand, a trigger mechanism, if structured properly, could over time actually preserve and even increase our leverage over the insurance industry.
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pirate jenny
November 23, 2009 11:36 AM in reply to Cool Blue Reason
very, very well put.
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Mateo123
November 23, 2009 9:50 AM
Joementum. Enough said.
Now, I do think that Reid and the Democrats that care about the public option better have some folks testify before the entire US Senate once or twice or three times or four. How ever long it takes. But, the message better be clear: a public option helps improve the number of insured Americans.
And, when is someone going to say to Joe: do you think it's okay for 47,000,000 American citizens to have no health insurance?
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igotmyreasons
November 23, 2009 10:00 AM
Why won't this old woman let the government represent the people?
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Clavis
November 23, 2009 10:18 AM
He's with us on everything except the war.
"The war" as in "the war on the middle class", that is.
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Forrest
November 23, 2009 10:49 AM
Since reconciliation is really to be used for budgetary matters, why not just open Medicare to everyone, with those who wouldn't normally qualify required to pay premiums? The goal would be to ensure financial stability for Medicare by injecting it with cash from young, healthy people. If it turns out to be a bad idea, let it sunset. If it goes well, not even Republicans would be able to politically survive taking away people's health care once they have it.
Don't require people to buy health insurance. Don't let businesses buy into Medicare for their employees. Just individuals. Lower incomes could get subsidies, but they'd still need to pay a portion of the premium cost.
If Medicare administration costs are really 1/10 of those of a private insurance company (I read somewhere 3% for Medicare vs. 30%+ for private), then Medicare should be able to beat any private insurance on cost.
Pay for it by cutting waste, as planned, but also levy a tax on health insurance company profits. Include penalties which significantly increase that tax rate (still only on profits) if health insurance rates rise above X%.
In my mind, making a profit on health insurance is a terrible conflict of interest. If denying a treatment to someone improves the bottom line, of course that treatment will be denied. Hell, the company has a responsibility to its shareholders to deny as much as it can get away with to drive up the share price. There is no compassion in capitalism, only profit. Why do we even broadly apply capitalism to something as vital as health care? Capitalism is great, but it's not for everything.
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Silence
November 23, 2009 11:22 AM in reply to Forrest
"In my mind, making a profit on health insurance is a terrible conflict of interest."
Car insurance, food, clothing, housing, Ipods, TV's, bicycles, fuel, internet service, lawn care products, hygiene products, hemorrhoid cream, aluminum foil, swim club memberships, bottled water, linens, tires, books.
Why should people have to pay for anything at all? Everything should be free.
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LeeJo
November 23, 2009 11:29 AM
… and no one in the Senate thinks Joe Liarman is anything but a self-serving wind bag who would sell his wife to the highest bidder if, as part of the deal he would get to stand in front of a TV camera and whine an whimper about how he is suffering because his wife is being abused.
What a sad and disgusting scumbag!
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Jackster
November 23, 2009 11:34 AM
Fine, pull the PO.
Force ALL Health insurers to be non-profit.
Force all Health care providers to be non-profit.
Keep cost increases at the inflation level.
Cap executive pay.
Standardize the paperwork.
Eliminate beaurocratic collection departments.
Cover everything and everyone.
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Cheesemoose
November 23, 2009 11:40 AM
You know, we were told we needed a majority in Congress to get things done, that's how they got us to donate money.
Now it turns out they lied; 60 Democrats isn't enough to get anything done. So let's just forget it til we have 75 Democrats. Maybe that'll be enough to get a Medicare For All bill passed. That would be something that would actually work. That would be something that the party could run on in the future.
The stinking, neutered bill that's going to pass now will only be a weight around progressives' necks, because everyone will hate it.
Halfway measures don't work.
I wish somebody would have told me that a 60-40 majority wasn't worth anything. I would have kept my money.
How many Democrats does it take to screw in a lightbulb?
I don't know, but 60 is not enough.
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LeeJo
November 23, 2009 1:08 PM in reply to Cheesemoose
While it is important to get as good a bill as we can, it is not true that halfway measures don't work. Social Security started out by not providing coverage to many working people. All farmers were excluded for example.
If we let the perfect become the enemy of the good we will never achieve perfection and the opponents of reform will continue to sit back and count their money.
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Jackster
November 23, 2009 12:08 PM
Even progressives know this is probably a bad bill. Some would call it a start. A Bad One! Making adjustments later to "improve" it will be met by the same resistance and hyperbolic grandstanding. When troubles start to arise as we know they will, Dem's won't be able to come to any consensus and Gopers will have their "I told you so moment"
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DKDC
November 23, 2009 2:10 PM
Could this be a possibility? - drop the public option (or susbstitute trigger) and then appoint conferees who will put it back into the House-Senate conference report along the lines of the one passed in the House. Once that goes back to the Senate you may not need the 60 votes again:
"If the differences are settled in conference, a conference report goes back to both houses for them to pass. The reports are not subject to amendment, and in the Senate, motions to proceed to consideration of conference reports are not debatable, and therefore not subject to filibuster, though the report itself can be. But because conference reports are also not amendable, any filibuster would have to be a straight-up talkathon, as opposed to the less obvious filibuster by endless amendment (which you saw in miniature this week as the Senate worked its way through the stimulus package). That's one reason you rarely see conference reports filibustered. The first house to act also has the right to recommit the report to conference if it just won't accept the result. But once one house has adopted the report, the conference committee is considered dissolved, and the report can't be recommitted (because there's no one to recommit it to)."
http://congressmatters.com/storyonly/2009/2/7/113440/4417/439/580
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