Rep. Jane Harman (D-CA), usually a reliable supporter of the military adventure du jour, yesterday broke sharply with President Obama on Afghanistan, arguing that "a larger occupation" will give "the Taliban an enhanced recruiting tool."
Harman's statement, released before Obama's speech, applauds in general terms his "regional approach," but strongly argues that adding more troops will decrease the United States' chances of success.
After two trips to Afghanistan this year, Harman was so "appalled and horrified by the depth of corruption of the Karzai government" that she simply could not support Obama's plan, she told Newsweek.
While Obama argued in his speech that Afghanistan is not a 21st century Vietnam, Harman believes quite the opposite: she said "eerie echoes of Vietnam" abound in the current discussion around Afghanistan:
There are eerie echoes of Vietnam and the crucial 1965 memo to President Johnson in which National Security Adviser McGeorge Bundy wrote, 'The situation... is deteriorating, and without new U.S. action defeat appears inevitable. There is still time to turn it around, but not much.' Bundy turned out to be wrong, and I think a troop build-up as part of an otherwise careful and thoughtful strategy is also wrong."
Here's her full statement
"Much in President Obama's new PakAf strategy is to be applauded. If media reports are correct, he is taking a regional approach to the terror threats the U.S. faces--by offering an expanding strategic partnership role to Pakistan, provided it abandons its destabilizing and ambiguous relationships with extremist groups including al-Qaeda, the Haqqani network and Lashkar-e-Taiba. These groups continue to have safe haven in Pakistan and to attack U.S., Afghan and Indian targets.The President's new Afghanistan strategy is designed to 'work around' the corrupt Karzai government by funneling resources to the provincial and district levels and specific ministries based on their performance. I also applaud consultation with NATO allies, Australia and Russia about these goals and the request that they commit personnel and resources to truly internationalize the mission.
However, I do not agree that inserting 34,000 additional U.S. and 5,000-10,000 additional ISAF troops into southern and eastern Afghanistan will enhance the chance of success. Just the opposite. Expanding our military footprint in Afghanistan is a mistake. A larger occupation gives the Taliban an enhanced recruiting tool, continues the dependency of Afghan fighters on our superior training and logistics, and commits scarce U.S. resources ($1 million per soldier annually) at a time when other counterterrorism challenges--including inside the United States--appear more urgent. We are already spending more annually on Afghanistan than its GDP!
Gen. McChrystal's report called for 400,000 trained Afghan military and police to resource the mission. My two visits to the region this year persuade me that less than half this number is achievable. This means that any 'exit' based on a trained Afghan force is years or decades away--and more U.S. troops may be requested.
There are eerie echoes of Vietnam and the crucial 1965 memo to President Johnson in which National Security Adviser McGeorge Bundy wrote, 'The situation... is deteriorating, and without new U.S. action defeat appears inevitable. There is still time to turn it around, but not much.' Bundy turned out to be wrong, and I think a troop build-up as part of an otherwise careful and thoughtful strategy is also wrong."
again
December 2, 2009 12:04 PM
Good for you, Representative Harman.
No doubt you'll be attacked for not supporting the President regardless of what he does, but it's critical that we invest here, first.
And at a time when small businesses can't even get a loan, it's pretty clear that we're not investing here, first.
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diachronic
December 2, 2009 12:27 PM
The irony is that what Obama thinks are threats/inducements to better behavior- that the US wants out in 18 months- are perverse incentives to the relevant parties, which in this case mostly is the network of intelligence agencies in Pakistan. The Pakistanis still remember our abandonment of the region after they helped us drive the Russians out in the eighties, and they fear India far more than Taliban in Afghanistan, which is actually desirable for them, since it gives Pakistani Taliban somewhere else to play. So they want Afghanistan to be within their sphere of influence when we leave- and to give them "strategic depth" in their cold war with India (which is the unspoken subtext of this entire conflict, and we are dupes to think otherwise).
The problem is that we are not good at proxy wars in which the other player is not the Soviet Union (the misapprehension of Vietnam as a proxy war against China is a sterling example). And still less are we used to being proxies ourselves. Time to get used to it. For our sacrifice we get at best a blood-soaked, tattered fig-leaf. Others in the region will get much more, with our blood. And we'll get the inevitable blowback, which will bring worse down the line.
How much is that fig-leaf worth?
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de TOQUEville
December 2, 2009 1:03 PM
Um... how is it that the LiveWire story immediately preceding this one (10:09 am) has such a different take on the same statement?
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izzatxeaux
December 2, 2009 1:05 PM
shorter Harman: Marcy Winograd scares the shit out of me
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