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Rep. Hensarling Advocates Cutting Benefits And Privatizing Social Security

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Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX)

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In the name of deficit reduction, House Republicans are going back to the Social Security well, offering budget proposals similar to those President George W. Bush proposed after his 2004 re-election that would privatize Social Security accounts and reduce cost of living adjustments.

Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) appeared on Hardball tonight and advocated balancing the budget by privatizing Social Security and cutting benefits for those now under 55.

"You can get better health care and better retirement security if you go to a defined contribution plan. We had this debate in Social Security a few years ago," Hensarling said:

A "defined contribution plan" means the amount contributed to the plan on the front end is fixed. Social Security and traditional pensions are "defined benefit plans," where the amount paid out on the back-end is fixed according to a formula.

"Are those under 55 ... gonna get the same deal as their parents? No, probably not," he said.

Throughout the interview, the congressman said Social Security benefits should be kept the same for those already receiving them, or those over 55.

"You mean cut Social Security benefits as a way of balancing the budget," Chris Matthews said.

Hensarling rejected Matthews' wording, but continued to call for privatization and reduced benefits for those under 55.

At the same time, Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) has been getting a lot of attention (including shout-outs of a sort from OMB Director Peter Orszag) for his proposed budget plan. But Ryan's plan too harkens back to earlier Bush proposals, with a call for private accounts:

As these personal accounts continue to accumulate wealth, they will eventually replace the funding that comes through the government's pay-as-you-go system. This will reduce the demand on government spending, lead to a larger overall benefit for retired workers, and restore solvency to the Social Security Program.

Ryan's plan also suggests reducing Social Security's cost of living adjustments, which are currently based on wage growth, by linking them to the consumer price index instead. Ryan's privatization plan would be phased in beginning with workers 55 and under.

ed. note: This post has been edited from the original.

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165 comments

Recommend Recommend (3)

February 1, 2010 6:22 PM   

Just handed the Dems their first attack ad, but I'm sure they'll screw it up somehow.

Blue Dogs will "reach out" to Republicans. Nelson and Lieberman will form the new and improved "Gang of Four" with Graham and McCain, and demand the President do what they say. I can see it all now.

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February 1, 2010 6:30 PM    in reply to superfly

and social security will be a "privatized" racket by next year

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February 1, 2010 6:47 PM    in reply to solerso68

soler,

those Wall Street bankers are salivating at the thought of getting their paws on the Social Security money.

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February 1, 2010 7:53 PM    in reply to JohnW1141

Why not, they have our retirement money in the form of 401K's.

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February 1, 2010 8:03 PM    in reply to BeeClone

And how has that worked out for everyone the past year or so?

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February 1, 2010 8:06 PM    in reply to Lestatdelc

Not so good, that's my point.

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February 1, 2010 9:15 PM    in reply to BeeClone

Gotcha.

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February 1, 2010 10:40 PM    in reply to BeeClone

Well, mine earned 20% in '09. Of course, this was after getting my ass handed to me for the previous year and a half. Now, if I had planned to retire soon, I'd be a lot more pissed about that than I am. Of course, I wasn't betting my Social Security on the stock market, either. That's just stupid.

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February 1, 2010 8:09 PM    in reply to superfly

Lets not forget Jimmy Webb

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mk

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February 1, 2010 6:29 PM   

This comment will be very unpopular, but I really think we should do something pretty similar to this -- keep Medicare/caid/SocSec public, sure, but cut benefits rather violently and return them to a sustainable schedule. If necessary, use means-testing to make sure that poorer folks have enough benefits to get by.

We just don't have the money to pay for Medicare/caid otherwise. (SocSec, OTOH, is not really in bad shape).

For reference, I voted, campaigned, and donated to Obama, because I felt he was more committed to genuine governance, whereas McCain was a dumbass. The Republicans are sticking their necks out in a major way here, but it also gives me faith that some of them are genuinely committed to governance, which I haven't thought about Republicans in... well, ever, maybe.

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February 1, 2010 6:36 PM    in reply to mk

the worst thing to do when "we dont have money" to pay pay for a program that NO ONE is going to attempt to get rid of. let me stress that, NO - ONE. The worst thing to do is turn it over to the privateers. let me stress that, the worst thing to do when something needs budegeting, is to insert a rapacious middle man into it. because gutting benefits paid out will only "save" so much money. and what they take out of the hides of American taxpayers for profit, they will bill twice to the tax payers at the end of the year. private armies havent saved money, they cost more. private jails havent saved money, they cost more. and giving social security to the same exploitation capitalists isnt going to save money either.

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February 1, 2010 6:39 PM    in reply to mk

We have the money. We just spend it on the military-industrial complex.

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February 1, 2010 7:39 PM    in reply to mk

Social Security would be more than fiscal sound in perpetuity if we simply eliminated the cap on how much of your income is subject to FICA withholding. It would also have the side benefit in making it so the Bill Gates of the world pay close to the same percentage of their total income that the lowest level Microsoft employee (or the bulk of its customers do) in taxes.

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February 1, 2010 7:49 PM    in reply to Lestatdelc

I've been saying this for YEARS. I wonder why nobody in Washington can ever come up with this.

I just wonder what it i$.

People like this Rethuglican jerk are so worried about Social Security that they're going to cut benefits but never ever think about ways to increase revenue. Hmmmm.

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February 1, 2010 10:19 PM    in reply to Backcountry

This HAS come up in Washington. It's just shot down by the money committees, all the members of which receive obscene "campaign contributions" (i.e. bribes) from big corporations, whose decisions are made by those who would have to pay more.

Duh.

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February 2, 2010 7:45 AM    in reply to Backcountry

well, they all make more than the cap, so they don't want to pay the extra taxes. "I got mine, the rest of you screw off."

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February 2, 2010 9:24 AM    in reply to Backcountry

"I wonder why nobody in Washington can ever come up with this."

Everybody and his fucking brother has come up with this.

Raising the cap is a terrible idea. FDR's Brain Trust deliberately designed Social Security so that it would be paid for by workers for the exclusive benefit of workers. It draws nothing from capital and so owes nothing to capital, in fact capital is in debt to workers here. That is the strength of Social Security that is why it has traditionally been the 'Third Rail of American Politics' because the wealthy cannot claim that because they are paying for it they should have control over it.

Do not fall into the trap of faux progressivism and think that all Social Security needs is to dip into the pockets of capital. Social Security is fine and if needed can be fixed by a tiny increase in FICA amounting initially (and until 2026) of 0.3% of payroll or about $1.50 a week for the median income household. That is all it would take to save Social Security and to keep the filthy hands of capital off of just about the only part of government that has proven to work for workers for the last 70 years.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=r49_nOHQG4QdHuwcbMGmP0Q

Any attempt to tinker with Social Security finance is to let the barbarians in the gate. Tax the crap out of the rich if you want, return top marginal rates to 50% (Reagan), 70% (Kennedy), 90% (Eisenhouer) and use the money to fund health care for 50 million uninsured, actually fund public higher education like they do in Europe hell there are hundreds of items on the progressive agenda that could be pursued.

BUT LEAVE SOCIAL SECURITY THE FUCK ALONE. The cap is our friend progressives who think that Social Security needs help from the wealthy, that workers should go begging cap in hand for capital to bail it out are simply playing into a narrative written by enemies of Social Security. Anyone who suggests that the answer to SS's problems (which hardly exist to start with) is to levy a tax on the wealthy is frankly an idiot. FDR and Frances Perkins knew what they were doing, it is not like they were not taxing the wealthy at 90% to start with, there are and were very good reasons to set up a wall between Social Security and the rest of government. Don't screw it up by messing with shit you just don't understand.

Social Security. Of the workers, by the workers, for the workers. God save it from its 'friends' who would insert 'with an assist from capital'.

Social Security is not broken. But it can be broken. By people who "are just trying to help". Thanks but no thanks on this one.

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February 2, 2010 11:57 AM    in reply to Bruce Webb

If Social Security is important to the American people it should be made stronger and better. Burying your head inthe sand merely cedes the battledfield of ideas to those who in fact do not beleive the program is worhtwhile. I can never understand why democrats do not offer an aggressiveset of reforms that makes the program better for the American people. The fear is bizarre.

As for Bruce's hissy fit, it makes little sense to me.

1.No one is talking about taxing capital. Lifting the cap or raising the cap applies to wage income only. It's exactly what we do with Medicare payroll taxes today.

2. There is nothing magical about where FDR and Perkins set the maximum taxable wage. It was set at $3000 from 1937 to 1951. They had no mechanism to adjust it according to patterns of wage growth. In fact, before the 1970's virtually all the changes in Social Security benefits such as cost of living allowances, and the various thresholds in the benefit formula were made ad hoc in legislation. Benefits would decline in real value for several years until they passed legislation to boost them up in line with price growth. FDR did not have any increase in benefits to keep up with inflation, other than periodic legislative action, are you saying we should go back to that formula too, Bruce?

During the 70's they started indexing the various amounts to things like inflation, and growth in average wages. They had to redo the indexing formulas in 1982, but hat is how they still work today. The taxable maximum wage increases by the growth in overall wages in the economy (lagged two years).

3. Doing nothing to adjust the cap is actually deteriorating the systems finances. The taxable maximum was set in 1982 at an amount where roughly 90% of total wages were subject to tax. While the threshold increases with average wages, the growth of wages above the cap has been considerably faster than below. As a result, we only tax about 82-83% of total wages today. It has been a steady downward trend. the trend continues for another 30 years, we'd be taxing only about 75% of all wages.

4. Bruce said all you need to do is raise FICA taxes ( the payroll tax rate) by some very small amount to make the system solvent. The number he quotes is sort of misleading. Taxes would have to rise by 2percent of the taxable payroll over the next 75 years. IN tax rate terms that amounts to increasing payroll taxes to 14.4% from 12.4% today, or if you wait until the date of trust fund exhaustion you;d raise rates from 12.4 to about 16.5 percent (these are approximate I am using a source that was accurate as of a few years ago). As a share of our total GDP, we'd only need to devote about 1.5% more of GDP to Social Security and everything is fine. If you do not lift the tax cap, the burden certainly will fall most heavily on middle and lower wage workers.

5. If Bruce has a point, it is that you have to think about how you are going to credit tax collected for future benefits. You can raise the cap and raise benefits which solves less of the problem, or you can raise the cap but not raise the person's benefit due commensurately. One argument is that this makes the system more of a subsidy to the poor and breaks the connection between wages earned and benefits.

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February 2, 2010 2:33 PM    in reply to Economides

1, Most people who talk about raising the cap implicitly assume it will hit millionaires and billionaires. For example the post I was responding to said this:
"Social Security would be more than fiscal sound in perpetuity if we simply eliminated the cap on how much of your income is subject to FICA withholding. It would also have the side benefit in making it so the Bill Gates of the world pay close to the same percentage of their total income that the lowest level Microsoft employee (or the bulk of its customers do) in taxes."

Bill Gates "total income" is almost entirely based on returns on capital, I believe his actual salary package is right at $1 million. Which in turn makes your: "1.No one is talking about taxing capital." itself bullshit, obviously Lest is at least implicitly talking about capital here.

2. I never said there was anything magical about the specific level that the cap was set, the important thing is that it exists and shelters Social Security from demands of capital. You just built a strawman and set it on fire here.

3. Same thing. I never said or implied that the current formula for adjusting the cap was perfect or that we shouldn't reset it so it gets back to the 90% level. Another burning strawman.

4. The number I cited is not misleading, it is fully supported in the spreadsheet you were obviously too pissy to examine. While the overall gap is at 2.01% there is no reason to take it all at one gulp. Instead you can raise FICA immediately by 0.3% of payroll put in another series of 0.2% a year increases from 2026 to 2036 and then two or three more in the couple of decades after that. Each increase would be a fraction of the actual projected change in Real Wage for those years and as such be almost unnoticeable.

5. Most of the proposals I have seen for cap increases including the one floated by Obama specifically say that there will be no corresponding benefit for the people called on to pay them. This is a flat out tax on the middle class that leaves the investor class untouched and as such plays into the hands of capital to the disadvantage of labor.

I am not burying my head in the sand. I have a detailed proposal that would deliver 100% of the scheduled benefit while leaving Social Security in what the Trustees call Long Term Actuarial Balance. Moreover this proposal is based on economic triggers that could be called off if not needed. Plus raising the cap while the Trust Funds are in surplus is counterproductive. All it does is supply another source of temporary borrowing for the General Fund while piling up Intragovernmental Holdings and so Public Debt, until Social Security actually goes cash flow negative on a more or less permanent basis it does no real world good at all.

And I don't know why you had to get so pissy here.

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February 2, 2010 4:55 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

You said:

Raising the cap is a terrible idea

So how exactly was I creating a "straw man" by arguing that bringing the cap back up to 90% or at the very least not letting it fall any lower were both good ideas?

If you are so concerned about middle class incomes then why wouldn't you want a higher cap and a lower rate?

The Actuary's score raising the cap with and without crediting the earnings for benefits, so of course it is a mainstream idea.

It's one thing to describe the increments by which taxes would increase, but telling people what the total rate will be is a little more honest. And as I said the total cost of the fix over a given time horizon is the same, we just have to decide who pays it and when.

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February 1, 2010 9:37 PM    in reply to Lestatdelc

Total Agreement! As a self employed person I pay over 15%, But the guys making millions only pay as much as the guy making $80k. Talk about a fairer flatter tax code, let's start there.

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February 1, 2010 9:39 PM    in reply to Jackster

Corrected 106k

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February 2, 2010 9:53 AM    in reply to Jackster

Jack you pay the same amount for a gallon of milk as Bill Gates does.

Social Security is not just another government program. It is not welfare. It is a government sponsored insurance plan. There is some mild progressivity built into the benefit formula but pretty much workers get the amount of insurance they pay for. Thinking that Social Security should be subsidized by the wealthy is just to fall into a trap set by enemies of Social Security, and it kills me that so many progressives walk into that trap with eyes wide open.

Why has Social Security survived and thrived for 70 years? Why was it long considered The Third Rail of American Politics? Its because its opponents, including but not limited to the Republican Party didn't dare touch a program that was entirely funded by its beneficiaries. Once you break down the wall between Social Security and the rest of government you risk the typical Republican trick of dividing spending into the categories of "Spending we can't NOT afford" (wars mostly) and "Spending we CAN'T afford" (social programs). There is no reason to willingly throw Social Security into that mix and so expose it.

Per SSA Social Security is faced with a 2.01% payroll gap over the next 75 years. But if you break that down you see that the gap for the next 25 years is only 0.32% of payroll. And CBO puts the overall gap at only 1.3% of payroll. If workers want to fix Social Security we can, and at a cost that no one would even feel, the needed tax increases could be phased in at rates that are a fraction of expected real wage increases over that same period. If we accept the relatively pessimistic forecasts of the Social Security Administration. If we take CBO numbers the cost of the fix is about a third cheaper and under reasonably plausible economic assumptions Social Security actually fixes itself (2.0 productivity 2.9% Real GDP, 1.7% Real Wage completely funds SS over the 75 year window)
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/V_economic.html#188118

When Bush convened CSSS (Commission to Strengthen Social Security) in 2001 he explicitly barred any discussion of a tax based solution. This wasn't because he was doing workers some huge fucking favor by not raising their taxes, it was because he didn't want people to know how cheap that avenue of fix actually was.

Look the Disability Insurance (DI) component of Social Security is in some serious hurt right now. It is running multi-billion deficits and is already eating into the principal in its dedicated Trust Fund (because there are two). On the other hand DI is only 10% the size of OAS (Old Age/Survivors) and can be totally fixed over the 75 year actuarial period used by SS with an increase in payroll tax of 0.3%, or about $1.50 a week in take home for the median income household. We can and should fix it. OAS on the other hand projects to meet the official test for actuarial soundness until at least 2026.

Fix DI, leave OAS alone for at least fifteen years and tell everyone who would propose some drastic restructuring to piss up a rope.

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February 2, 2010 12:31 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

I'm guessing Bruce figures he'll be dead in 25 years so screw everyone else. Fine.

Why not just advocate going back to strict pay as you go. In that case we can give people a payroll tax cut for a few years. Or just wait until 2040 or so and then raise the rates to about 16%. Just leave it all on the future generations.

under reasonably plausible economic assumptions Social Security actually fixes itself (2.0 productivity 2.9% Real GDP, 1.7% Real Wage completely funds SS over the 75 year window)

This is a bit naive. Real wage growth of 1.7% per year forever (about 50% higher than is being assumed today perhaps pessimistically, perhaps not) would give a positive trust fund balance until 2044 (7 years later than is now projected) but then those balances turn negative and continue negative. And of course that assumes nothing else happens that deteriorates the balance--such as gains in live expectancy such as are being experienced in Europe, or declining fertility rates to those experienced in Europe today, or continuing income inequality which sequesters more of our total wages above the taxable maximum. All those things could happen just as easily as robust income growth (perhaps more easily) and they would wipe out the positive financial impact.

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February 2, 2010 2:52 PM    in reply to Economides

Well I am guessing you are kind of an asshole. Based on evidence in this thread so far.

As to waiting 25 years it actually is not a bad idea. The projected payroll gap in 1997 was 2.23%, that is the amount that we would have had to raise taxes immediately to put the system in long term actuarial balance. We did nothing and by the 2009 Report that gap was up to--. Well it wasn't up at all, instead it is down to 2.01%. The effect of doing Nothing in 1997 was a twelve year wage holiday of 2.23% and left us with a smaller fix going forward. Now in between 1997 and 2009 there was some variation with the gap at one point down to 1.89%. But you can take any two endpoints within that span and arithmetically prove that Nothing was a winning bet in every single year.

There are reasons to apply a small fix of 0.3% dedicated explicitly to DI-Disability Insurance. That program is not only out of Short Term Actuarial Balance but is already eating into principal in the Trust Fund. On the other hand a 0.3% increase now and another 0.2% in 2041 would put it back in Long Term Actuarial Balance. On the other hand OAS needs no attention under current projections until 2026.

And I am not naive. I am a guy that has read the Reports. Under the Trustees Low Cost alternative Social Security is actually overfunded over the seventy five year actuarial threshold.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#150920
Of the economic variables needed to hit Low Cost outcomes the three I cited IN COMBINATION along with ultimate 4.5% unemployment more than fix Social Security, and in fact suggest that we would be needing to trim FICA rates early in the 2020s. And obviously results between Intermediate Cost and Low Cost are possible, in fact it was a string of such results between 1997 and 2004 that strongly improved the outlook for Social Security and justified not raising payroll.

And the demographic factors you mention are already built into the model. If you have specific reason to challenge any of the fertility or mortality assumptions of Low Cost then fine. But neither me nor the actuaries/demographers that compile the Reports just fell off the turnip truck. Christ next you'll be telling me about the "impending wave of Boomer retirements". Well yeah I kind of get that point and took it into consideration.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/V_demographic.html#205410

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February 2, 2010 5:06 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

Bruce, you should simply advocate returning to the pay as you go rate. It's conceptually simpler. If things turn out much better than we project now (I'm not sure you wanna call 1994-2000 a typical period in US economic or demographic history), then rates will be lower. The downside is if your rosy economics don;t turn out as well or demographics turn out worse (longer life spans is in Trust Funds terms is a "bad" thing).

I think you still have to justify why we allow the share of taxable wages to fall over time. At the very least I'd think you would have to advocate not allowing the cap to fall anymore as a % of total wages, or bringing it back up to 90%. You should know that in every trustees report they assume this share stays constant at whatever it has been recently. They do not use evidence that the trend in downward for 25 years at all in their projection.

Your mental exercise of looking at what happens when the economics are at their "low cost values" is no more interesting than imagining what happens when demographics are at their "high cost" values. Why is it more likely that we will have high real wage growth than longer than expected life spans. (you do realize the one can cancel out the impact of the other)

The low cost scenario as it is, is entirely meaningless. You might what to use the stochastic models to imagine what is probable.

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February 2, 2010 5:36 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

Bill Gates pays no attention to the cost of a gallon of milk, the cost of a mortgage, clothes for his kids, heating his home, medical bills, transportation everything that eats a large percentage of middle income wages, especially the self employed. If supporting small business is a good way to spur economic growth, I believe that middle income entrepeneurs and business owners should get some help instead of taking another 8% out of what they own. Just raise the cap a moderate amount and revenues will grow.

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February 1, 2010 7:52 PM    in reply to mk

Ri-i-i-ight. Let's treat that skin cancer with ointment that makes the skin itch or burn a little less. THAT's governance.

No. The problem (as ever) with HCR is that it fails to go far enough. It costs each citizen of Britain a total of around $3,000 in taxes per year for total health care. Period. No additional insurance plans needed. No co-pays. No deductibles. No big ding in the wallets of employers. Not even a factor. Three grand.

With so much of our health care privatized, the average insured US citizen splits the costs with employers and pays about $9,000 per year. And pays co-pay. And pays deductibles. (Yes, those are costs in addition to the nine grand.) And we still have 15% of our citizenry without any health insurance.

About the cost for drugs? Need chemo drugs over in Britain? Costs about $10-12 US for any chemo drug there is. Doesn't matter what the drug is. $10-12. HIV drugs? $10-12. Even for the chemo drugs that patients in this country are charged $1,000 per shot per day for a month (like those received by my mother, so this is not exaggeration for effect; it is fact and I saw the bills). Britan? $10-12 bucks. For all the drugs for a month.

Does Britain's health care suck like the corporate terrorists say? I don't know: Ask Stephen Hawking, who has Lou Gehrig's disease, who was supposed to die 30 or more years ago. Because he's famous, does he have better health care than a dock worker or truck driver over there? Nope. Same coverage for all citizens.

Why so inexpensive? Because the Brits figured it all out right after WWII that the secret is to get and keep private coroporations out of the equation entirely, since making a proft from illness is immoral and amoral.

If you want to deliver your fate further into the profit/loss ledgers of private multinational corporations, have at it. And good luck. You think things are bad NOW? Just wait until we eliminate the very last dregs of We the People taking care of We the People in favor of having every remnant controled by the unrestrained greedy inveterate gamblers, and we will see a brand new definition of hell on earth.

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February 1, 2010 9:07 PM    in reply to TheRealFish

I created an account for the sole purpose of clarifying some issues about Stephen Hawking and the treatment of Lou Gehrig's. As the daughter of someone with this horrible disease, I can say that most of our expenses are actually due to routine private-duty nursing care (in long shifts, instead of quick scheduled visits), not medical treatments. Medicare (eligible through disability, even though under the age of 65) covers most of our expenses, and we love it. I am a big advocate of "Medicare for All." But for someone like Hawking, just like my parent, long-term survival is dependent on a number of factors in any country. For instance, the rate or progression to respiratory failure is important (some patients have slow respiratory progression--this is associated with a longer prognosis--my understanding is that Hawking's disease progressed in such a way that it took longer for him to reach the point of respiratory failure compared to the average ALS patient). Another challenge is proximity to a major hospital. We live very close to a great hospital and our primary doctor (a critical care specialist) is literally down the street from us. Patient caregiver education is yet another significant factor, and respite care contributes to the ability for patient caregivers to function at full capacity. I say all of this not to discount the important argument that Stephen Hawking has survived for a long time under socialized medicine, but the same is true of those long-term survivors in the US. Hawking benefits not only from good medical care but also vigilant patient caregiving and more private-duty nursing than the average patient receives. The latter is as important as medical treatment by doctors and/or in hospitals. Now, we need to work on getting Medicare to pay for private-duty nurses, that is, if we can get through this ridiculous health care reform struggle. I do agree that socialized medicine (Medicare in the US, NHS in the UK) is far better than a privatized system. Our secondary insurance (private) is a pain. And my advice to anyone who is dealing with a chronic, critical illness: if at all possible, move close to a major hospital. Hawking probably wouldn't have survived this long if he lived out in the Lake District.

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February 1, 2010 10:24 PM    in reply to TheRealFish

oh, you just hit my hot button.

All the tea-baggers, and even more "reasonable" people I've talked with about health care reform, all say "I don't want my taxes to go up to pay for socialized medicine."

If these maroons ever added up how much they pay now, a whole BUNCH of it in after-tax dollars, and compared it to the extra taxes they paid to get "socialized medicine," you'd see them jump the tea party ships in droves.

Americans really don't care about taxes ... just stay with me for a minute ... they just want to KEEP more of their money. If there were a computer program on the intertubes to calculate paying for health care with taxes compared to paying for health care with insurance premiums, deductibles, co-pays, and yearly limits, AND you could force people to use it before they voted, you'd see the vote swing radically in favor of single-payer.

It's just that the health insurance industry is waving a whole heckuva lot of bring shiny objects in front of the dumbass American electorate.

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February 1, 2010 10:27 PM    in reply to Cal Gal

BRIGHT shiny objects. Stupid spell check. Stupid fingers.

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February 1, 2010 8:56 PM    in reply to mk

As you say, Soc. Sec. is really not in bad shape, so I'll ignore the fact that you lumped that program in with Medicare/Medicaid when you suggesting cutting these entitlement benefits "violently." Cutting benefits for Medicare/Medicaid will only harm the people the programs are supposed to protect; nothing will bring down the cost of these medical programs except bringing down the cost of providing health care - that is, changing the way provider services are paid for.

Simply "violently" cutting benefits won't solve any problem at all unless you're in favor of letting people die to keep the expenditures under control.

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February 1, 2010 11:45 PM    in reply to MichaelD

nothing will bring down the cost of these medical programs except bringing down the cost of providing health care - that is, changing the way provider services are paid for.

I would modify that by saying what brings down the cots is changing the way we deliver care, i.e. making it much more efficient and higher quality. 'How we pay for it' can provide powerful incentives to deliver care more efficiently, but there are many examples of health care providers doing it the right way right now because they do things better and smarter.

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February 1, 2010 9:31 PM    in reply to mk

Another thing that would help would be to make 100% of people's income subject to withholding instead of the current $106,800.

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February 1, 2010 10:15 PM    in reply to mk

You're panicking. When the economy grows again, Social Security will be fine. What the MSM reports about the Baby Boomers being a "pig a python" is just plain false. Current generations of taxpayers are just as large.

The whole "pig in the python" falsity comes from treating 18 years of births as "the Baby Boom" while slicing and dicing following cohorts into "Gen X," "the Millenials," etc.

Yes, it may take a few years, but all those gloom and doom scenarios came from worst-case projections. True, we have had a "worst case" the past couple of years, but the Baby Boomers have not yet started to get Social Security.

Don't panic yet. I'll let you know when it's time to panic.

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February 1, 2010 11:52 PM    in reply to Cal Gal

You are wrong about that.

Assuming we don't changing the benefits or taxes, What matters is the ratio of workers (who pay taxes) to beneficiaries, and that is falling (1) because broth rates fell so precipitously from the baby boom to the baby bust; and (2) because people are living longer and retiring earlier (although the latter trend seems to have abated in the last 15-20 years). Of the course of the next 30 years we are moving from having 3 workers per beneficiary to 2. So every worker will have to pay more of their payroll to cover expenses or you cut the benefits.

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February 2, 2010 10:14 AM    in reply to Economides

That 3:2 ratio is bunk. Simple fear mongering.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/V_demographic.html#205410

Under the standard Intermediate Cost assumption the dependency ratio of worker to retiree rises to .359 by 2050 and .412 by 2085 that is from a little less than 3:1 to ultimate 5:2, the 3:2 number is instead the ratio of workers to total beneficiaries which include survivors, i.e. widows and children, whose needs would need to be covered in any case.

The real number that people should be focused on, and found in the same table. is Total Dependency Ratio which includes children, the disabled and retirees. Under IC assumptions that ratio is projected to increase from .670 today to .870 in 2085. On the other hand even that ultimate figure is significantly less than the .964 ratio we experienced in 1965.

Lesson no 1 about Social Security: 97% of everything you read in the newspaper on Social Security is either wrong or wilfull propaganda by its enemies. (The other 3% is written by Dean Baker and Paul Krugman who actually know what the hell they are talking about.)

Dean Baker and colleague Mark Weisbrot wrote THE book on this back in 1999. They called it "Social Security: the Phony Crisis" and were right then and right now. You can read a condensed excerpt from it here: http://www.press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/035468.html
Read and heed. Because most of what most people "know" about Social Security is dead wrong.

There are people, mostly in the blogosphere, who are sound on this topic and our Semi-Beloved Leader Josh being prominent among them, but mostly the soundbites and numbers floating around are deliberate deceptions intended to mislead the unwary.

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February 2, 2010 12:15 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

NIce, call the people who call out your factual erros propagandists. Asshole.

For the record I support making Social Security stronger and better by increasing revenues and INCREASING benefits, particularly for those who are older. I favor raising the early and "full" retirement ages gradually as life expectancy and labor force participation of older workers rises. I favor reform the disability system so it supprots what people can do instead of paying them to prove they cannot do anything.

As for the numbers: the "aged dependency ratio" Bruce cites is the ratio of those aged 65 and over to those aged 20 to 64 . Age 65 is a convenient marker and allows comparisons across time and cultures, but it has no practical significance. Age 65 is not any kind of official threshold for Social Security. And of course is less relevant as people live longer.

In any case the the ratio is currently .210 and will rise by
71% to .360 by 2035. That's a huge, unprecedented shift. European countries are getting older much faster, but they are furiously changing their public pension schemes to account for longer lives.

As for the ratio of workers to beneficiaries that Bruce dismisses, this is really all that matters for financing. Workers pay the taxes, beneficiaries collect them. That ratio is 3.02 today and is projected to fall to 2.1 in just 25 years. The simple fact is that every worker will have to contribute more, if every beneficiary is to receive the same benefits (of course benefits are rising too, with average wages).

Why should total dependency matter? All that does is add in kids, a few of whom will be beneficiaries. That ratio is far more important if you want to look at the totality of spending by society on the aged and the young (the ratio is about 25 to 1 or so).

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February 2, 2010 3:04 PM    in reply to Economides

"Age 65 is not any kind of official threshold for Social Security"

That is pretty lame. First of all 65 was the official threshold for Social Security for many, many years. And 65 and some months was the threshold for people reaching full retirement age as late as 2008.

And most important that is the age used in the fricking table. Did you expect me to rework the numbers to take into account that some people aged 65-66 are not included? Even though a majority of people take early retirement?
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/V_demographic.html#167717

If and when Social Security gets around to adjusting this table so that it strictly maps actual full retirement age then I'll start using a new dividing point.

And what factual error had you called out prior to me putting up that post? That 3:2 number you cite has been used repeatedly in anti-Social Security propaganda, cited as you do as a reason for urgency. I just put it in context. Sorry if your feelings got hurt, you must be kind of a sensitive fella.

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February 2, 2010 10:30 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

Bruce,

Because we are talking about the financing of the system, all that matters is the ratio of workers (i.e.taxpayers) to beneficiaries. Age 65 is a heuristic, an approximation to the classifications. As you yourself point out the modal age of retirement benefit claiming is 62 not 65, and there are many beneficiaries that we have to pay for who are younger than that.

No you don't have to do any calculations. This table has all you need to know:
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2009/IV_LRest.html#345423
And it shows that the ratio goes from roughly 3 to 2. That's just a fact. It means fewer workers must support more workers and the ratio of taxes to benefits will have to rise as well.(the alternative is if you actually change the distribution of workers to retirees, either by changing age at retirement or immigration of workers)

Because some people try to use that fact to create a degree of alarm that is supposed to get you to disregard that they want to destroy the system is not my fault. Maybe you should ask the trustee why they even bother printing that number.

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February 1, 2010 10:46 PM    in reply to mk

Well, I'm not one of those lucky bastards who is 55+, but I'll be 47 this year, which means I've paid a considerable number of beans into the system, and I don't like getting screwed any more than old people do.

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February 1, 2010 11:56 PM    in reply to Steaming Pile

You haven't paid any beans into the system. You have been paying for current retirees. Now that "earns" you the right to have future generations do the same for you (although they will be paying more than you did --either collectively as a generation or individually in higher rates) so long as they choose to honor that obligation. Republicans see no reason to honor it. Go fend for yourself, is what they are all about.

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February 2, 2010 9:30 AM    in reply to Economides

Semantics! The SSA keeps track of how many beans I put in since the day I got my first part-time job at McDonald's in 1977. All the way down to the last penny. Why do you think they do this? It's so they can determine, down to the penny, how much I'm entitled to down the road. It's my goddamned money, or at least it is until some Republican jackass gets his filthy paws on it.

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February 2, 2010 9:34 AM    in reply to Steaming Pile

Or was that 1979. Yeah, that's more like it. Anyway, people my age feel just as entitled as people just a few years older, and there are nearly as many people in the 45-54 age cohort as there are in the 55-62 cohort. We trailing edge Boomers, Gen Jonesers, or whatever you want to call us, have been boned by the system since we were in high school. Just give us another reason to be pissed off. I dare you, Rep. Hensarling.

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February 2, 2010 10:33 AM    in reply to Economides

"(although they will be paying more than you did --either collectively as a generation or individually in higher rates)"

More claptrap. Under the current benefit formula initial benefits rise with Real Wage meaning that each generation of retirees can afford a bigger basket of goods than the previous one. This doesn't mean they get a bigger percentage of their pre-retirement income, because that stays pretty steady, it is just a recognition that on balance each generation of Americans has enjoyed a better standard of living, if that is you measure that by material goods (house, TV, clothes, cars).

Under the current formula the typical retiree in 2037 will receive benefits that equate to 160% in real terms of what a similarly situated retiree gets today. If nothing is done to Social Security that benefit projects to have to be cut by 25% at Trust Fund Depletion, but by what I call Rosser's Equation (after Prof. Rosser of JMU who pointed it out to me), 75% of 160% = 120%. That is under a worse case scenario (practically) Social Security 'crisis' nearing mid-Century means future retirees getting only a 20% better benefit than my Mom gets today.

And if people want to fix Social Security that can be done with a phased in set of tax increases that result in a take that is only a fraction of Real Wage increases over the same period, yes furture workers would be paying a higher percentage of their income but from a much higher base. This whole notion of "intergenerational inequity" is a bunch of crap sold by Peter G Peterson and organizations founded and funded by him including the Concord Coalition and the PGP Foundation.

In the wake of the Greenspan Commission compromise in 1983 the enemies of Social Security gathered and made a long range marketing plan to undermine Social Security in preparation for their next run at destroying it. The plan had three main components: one convince people in retirement or nearing it that their benefits would not be touched (hence the over 55 thing referenced above), two convince younger workers that they were going to be inevitably screwed by the system in the way of lower or non-existent benefits and much higher levels of taxation, and three blame the whole thing on the Boomers. This plan worked to perfection as seen here on this thread. People accepted this whole line of argument hook, line and sinker.

You can actually read the 1983 Plan. It was written by Stuart Butler and Peter Germanis and was titled "Social Security Reform: Achieving a "Leninist" Strategy" (pdf here: http://www.cato.org/pubs/journal/cj3n2/cj3n2-11.pdf ). Read it and marvel at home many things you "know" about Social Security are simply elements of a 26 year old campaign to undermine faith in Social Security. I guess there really are suckers born every minute.

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February 2, 2010 12:44 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

No one said the benefits wouldn't be higher. If you want to cut benefits to the amount of revenue at the current tax rates go right ahead. You are right it will be more in real terms than today's recipients get. It is certainly less than than they are promised. I'd be in favor of making sure people get what they were promised (which of course is not what the CATO assholes want). With rising retirement ages, and longevity, increases in health care costs rising much faster than wages, and private pensions becoming less prevalent and more risky, I'd say in 30 years we are gonna wish benefits were even higher.

AS for generational equity, it is not a requirement. It is a choice. The size of the Trust Fund deficit is the same no matter when you decide to fill it in. You can spread the cost over a longer period of time and therefore across generations, or you can exempt the current generation and just raise taxes when the well is dry. In 2040 or so that means a 16 or 17% payroll tax rate (up form 12.4%).

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February 2, 2010 3:16 PM    in reply to Economides

Or a phased in set of taxes.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=r49_nOHQG4QdHuwcbMGmP0Q

Under what we call the NW Plan the ultimate rate is a combined 16.2% but that wouldn't cut in until 2074. In 2040 the needed rate would be 15.2% and not 16 or 17%. In 2030 it would be only 13.7%. And never a change in a single year (except maybe 2011 if we don't move in 2010) of more than 0.2%. It doesn't have to be a "pay me now or pay me later" shock treatment.

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February 1, 2010 10:53 PM    in reply to mk

SUCKER!!

For fun, let us say we do that. Then, the next republican President just cuts taxes for the rich again, because now we will have a surplus. How many times are people going to fall for this old Republican trap. Lucy and her football are less of a rerun.

SSI or whatever passes for democracy in Iraq and
Afganistan. We know who the cares about, and it ain't granny.

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February 1, 2010 6:32 PM   

Why do they hate America? What is up with these people.
Un freakin believable.

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February 1, 2010 8:08 PM    in reply to Jimmy Blue

Because the United States was designed by liberals around the liberal idea that We the People are the government and that We the People can take care of each other. (Yes, that is very Marxian at its heart; Marx wasn't alive and making up his little socialist idea until after our founders did their thing. Had Marx been alive just a little earlier, and was an immigrant to our shores, he might just have been there shoulder to shoulder with Franklin and Jefferson and Adams, since there are such striking similarities between their political ideas.)


So, yes: These folks believe that corporations should control it all, that the richest few should tell all the rest of us to get to the back of the busses, and pledge our fealty. They are believers in near-feudal little kingdoms running everything, with all the warlords collecting together from time to time to decide what to do with the country's wealth and, most importantly, how to keep us peasants out of their way.


They HATE democracy. Ask Ronald Reagan, right? He said it. "Government does not solve problmes; government is the problem."


Right?


We-e-e-ell, if We the People are the government, he is saying we can not solve our own problems but rather, we are the problem. And we must be gotten out of the way.


How'd he do that? Slashed taxes to the richest people, started the process of killing unions (dropping relative low-and-middle income wages), and started the process of completely deregulating all the richest people.


He started correcting the We the People problem. He pushed us out of the way and replaced us with corporations — to the point that many pieces of legislation today are openly acknowledged to have been written by these corporations.


That's why they hate America.

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sbv

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February 1, 2010 6:33 PM   

as has been oft repeated; the democrats never miss a chance to miss a chance. while i truly believe democrats, for the most part but not those who call themselves blue dog or conservative, are on the right side of history; but are just to naive, too stupid, too spineless and too afraid to play the hardball required to call the republicans out. in fact, was wondering can you think of another democrat who could have done what pesident obama did friday at the gop retreat?

how someone like frank lutz can, with his magic little words, convince a majority of americans health care reform is a bad thing and now is on his way to doing the same thing with financial reform.

it must surely be the republicans, aided and abetted by the msm and the democrats lack of response, can repeat something over and over, regardless of its veracity or common sense, long enough until it becomes the "common wisdom."

health care reform = a bad, socialist takeover
taking the tax rate on the super wealthy back to clinton era = loss of jobs
banking reform = will hurt small businesses
privatizing medicare and social security = a good thing

hell, i could be a gop strategist.

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February 1, 2010 6:44 PM    in reply to sbv

well as i see it, the main problem is both democrats and republicans want the same thing : corporate money. its one thing to be the peoples brand and talk about ethical govt, and justice and those kinds of things, but its quite another matter to actually cross the coporations who are bankrolling your campaigns, and who will give you a won the lottery - like jobbie when you've finally been thrown out of office. republicans arent burdened with the need to pretend they are on the side of the people. if some people buy that tired, ridiculous routine about "smaller govt" and "free markets" hey great! (and some who really should know better obviously do buy it). But at the end of the day both democrats and republicans are on the same page.

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February 1, 2010 10:30 PM    in reply to solerso68

Bingo. And now the Corporatist Supreme Court has just made it a CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHT for corporate America to rule.

I'm afraid our government is gone, and fascism is a lot closer that we know.

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February 2, 2010 11:20 AM    in reply to Cal Gal

We could always "incorporate" and then run for office. If they can do it, why can't we?

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February 1, 2010 6:37 PM   

How does it cost less to privatize SS? The government will have to replace all the money that WAS going into SS and is NOW staying in a private investment account. Wasn't this the big problem last time we talked about it?

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February 1, 2010 8:16 PM    in reply to blkblt

Simple answer, it won't. Social Security is the only major government program that is not hyperinflating in cost. Defense and Medicare are completely out of control. Inflation is making mincemeat of the buying power of the DOT budget. So the Republicans' solution is . . . . add cost to social security by requiring it to be capitalized, and while we're at it, let's have a bunch of investment banks skimming off 20 percent profit. No thanks.

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February 1, 2010 9:33 PM    in reply to blkblt

It won't cost less. It was reportedly going to cost a trillion to privatize back in 2005. This isn't about saving money, or deficit reduction - this is about killing a program the GOP has always hated.

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February 1, 2010 10:27 PM    in reply to susanthe

exactly.

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February 1, 2010 10:38 PM    in reply to susanthe

And it will be even MORE unpopular since the melt-down of the financial industry.

Seeing the ReThugs sending out someone as lame as Hensarling with such an predictably unpopular idea as putting Social Security into the stock market makes me think they really have thrown themselves even farther into the "government = bad" tar pit.

Yeah, the tea baggers might like it, but a whole lot of independent folks who saw their 401k's go underwater aren't. It will help to show them, along with SCOTUS's ruling that corporations = human beings, that the ReThugs are actually the governing arm of big corporations.

I hope.

Still don't know how the SCOTUS ruling gets overturned. Sigh. Maybe it will take a big scandal, like Hugo Chavez forming a shell corporation in Delaware to spend oodles of money against ReThugs. But then again, oil revenues are down in Venezuela ...

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February 1, 2010 9:54 PM    in reply to blkblt

the biggest problem at the time for me was that Bush had already picked out three firms to handle the accounts and wasn't telling people the names of the firms.

I found that just a little too shady for my taste. Made me think of the game three card monty.

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February 1, 2010 11:59 PM    in reply to blkblt

You'd have to borrow it, which in this climate may not be a good idea.

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sbv

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February 1, 2010 6:38 PM   

the difference between rachel maddow and chris matthews is rachel comes armed with facts and chris likes to go with his gut, his conclusions, which he definitely is enamored with, even when he is wrong.

the national debt as a % of gdp under reagan was 189%, the nat'l debt as a % of gdp under gwb was 89%. for every 1% of unemployment in this country it costs our government either in revenue or support, $415 billion. gwb's tax cuts to the wealthy cost this country in lost revenue $3.7 trillion.

and the gop has the gall to talk about saving this country by privatizing social security and medicare!

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February 1, 2010 10:40 PM    in reply to sbv

You're making a mistake a lot of people make. You're assuming facts mean anything in politics.

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February 1, 2010 6:48 PM   

Why under 55? Presumably lots of those folks have been paying into SS for 30+ years. 54 year olds are 13 years away from eligibility,many of whom have to be presumed to be lower income folks.

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CN

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February 1, 2010 6:58 PM    in reply to bdtex

You are assuming that Hensarling gives a crap about lower-income folks.

The 55 cutoff is about voting demographics. The 55-and-over demo is large, votes in high numbers, and votes Republican. Any "plan" that cuts benefits to that demographic is electoral suicide. A plan that preserves benefits for that demographic might not be rejected by those who won't get hurt by it.

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February 1, 2010 7:48 PM    in reply to CN

yes, they are hoping to find a majority over 55 craven enough to flip off 50-year olds and the rest of the country

thankfully, only repugs are so self-interested and their numbers are shrinking as US demographics evolve

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February 1, 2010 9:36 PM    in reply to CN

The 55-and-over demo is large, votes in high numbers, and votes Republican.

Does this mean I have to change next August? But I don't *want* to vote for the Republican!

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February 2, 2010 10:51 AM    in reply to bdtex

"Why under 55?"

Simple, they are just following the script. In 1983 the enemies of Social Security got together and figured out a long range plan to kill Social Security. This wasn't a secret, they committed it to paper and published it, and you can read it here:
http://www.cato.org/pubs/journal/cj3n2/cj3n2-11.pdf Social Security Reform: Achieving a "Leninist" Strategy. They simply applied the following to Social Security:

Marx believed that capitalism was doomed by its inherent contradictions, and that it would inevitably collapse—to he replaced by the next stage on the ladder leading to the socialist Utopia. Lenin also believed that capitalism was doomed by its inherent contradictions, and would inevitably collapse. But just to be on the safe side, he sought to mobilize the working class, in alliance with other key elements in political society, both to hasten the collapse and to ensure that the result conformed with his interpretation of the proletarian state. Unlike many other socialists at the time, Lenin recognized that fundamental change is contingent both upon a movement’s ability to create a focused political coalition and upon its success in isolating and weakening its opponents.
As we contemplate basic reform of the Social Security system, we would do well to draw a few lessons from the Leninist strategy.
The authors of his piece assumed that Social Security was doomed ultimately but decided to adopt a three part platform:
One. Assure those in retirement and approaching retirement that their benefits were secure.
Two. Convince younger workers that "Social Security just won't be there for me"
Three. Blame the Boomers.

Every attempt to kill Social Security from 1983 to our boy Hensaring's attempt here has faithfully followed this script. Every one. Because whatever other failings the Right may have a lack of message discipline is not among them.

The Right calculated that they would never be able to sell a "reform" to Social Security if it adversely affected short term benefits. And they were right "Keep the government's hands off of my Social Security" may not make much real world sense but it works. "Under 55" just marks a convenient line at which they figure they can survive the political backlash.

It is all just part of the "Leninist Strategy" set forth in 1983. Literally.

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February 2, 2010 1:23 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

But we are losing the fight over "convince the young people that Social Security won't be there for them."

Reforms that strengthen the system and make it more financially sound and stable would be a strong way to destroy that argument.

"Do nothing" is a terrible, terrible public relations strategy for the long term. And even though the decks are stacked in your favor (the cohorts with an interest in preserving or enhancing the system will never be larger), you are afraid to engage the enemy.

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February 2, 2010 3:39 PM    in reply to Economides

You are awfully quick with the ad homs.

I am not afraid of the enemy, I engage these guys all the time on their home turf. I haven't seen you mixing it up with Andrew Biggs recently (Biggs was previously deputy to Tanner at what was then called Cato's Project on Social Security Choice, later the Deputy Commissioner of Social Security in 2006, and now Social Security privatization blogger).http://andrewgbiggs.blogspot.com/

The Northwest Plan is a perfectly fine plan but the problem is that if we even open the door for discussion in today's climate the likely result will be some "fix" that undermines Social Security for the long term. Compromise shouldn't be an option here. Now there are some fixes that might be acceptable, Diamond-Orszag is not a terrible plan, nor is the one put forth by the late Bob Ball, but 'Nothing' is a perfectly fine plan. In fact I have touted it in the past as "Nothing!: the Proven Plan for Social Security since 1997!" Because it is.

And while you may be losing the fight over convincing the young, I am not. In the decade that I have been working this issue the knowledge base particularly on the left has increased dramatically. In particular all of the major left bloggers are solid on this issue, something that was not exactly true as we entered into the "There is no crisis" debate of Spring 2005.

As for strengthening Social Security. While it is a worthy goal, I don't think it should be at the top of the progressive list, particularly if some sort of cap increase undercuts support for changes to top marginal rates on the income tax side. Potentially it is a simple trap where a huge increase in top marginal rates on a category of wage earners prevents us from making any changes to taxes of people who can their income from non-wage categories.

As it stands Social Security has two primary needs. One is to ensure there will be borrowing room in case it is needed to redeem the Trust Funds, particularly in the mid 30's. And two an economy growing better than the fairly puny rates projected under Intermediate Cost. And the way to make this happen is to restore some progressivity to the overall tax system, use the proceeds to invest in things that drive real productivity and ensure that wage workers get their fair share of that increased productivity. Higher Real Wage translates quite directly into both improved solvency of Social Security and better initial benefits at retirement. We don't need tax increases or outside sources of funding if only the wage pie grows big enough that 12.4% of it is plenty. Ten years or so of Clinton era improvements in employment and real wage coupled with Clinton era inflation numbers and Social Security crisis is done, done, done.

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February 1, 2010 6:48 PM   

What do Boehner and McConnell say about this?

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February 1, 2010 6:51 PM   

Um, is Rep. Hensarling a deep cover Democratic operative? First he made that ridiculous speech at the GOP retreat attacking Obama on the budget and set up Obama for his best rhetorical tirade of the night. Now he is proposing an absolutely thermonuclear entitlements reform plan. For God sake, Bush just tried to privatize Social Security a few years ago. His idea is that by grandfathering 55 year olds and up he won't upset the seniors. Maybe. Seniors sure got upset by HCR in it's current form even though it has no effect on them except to close the donut hole. This is great attack ad fodder, if the Dems can just get their messaging straight.

The reason why I think this is bad politics for the GOP is that the recent stock market crash is too fresh in people's minds. It's so easy to frame this policy as a giveaway to big business and a swindle for the American people.

Which would be for the first time since the election.

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February 1, 2010 6:57 PM    in reply to philogratis

I think you're right. People are still trying to recoup losses in their privatized retirement funds. Many of them are probably just hanging on thanks to their guaranteed SS payments.

This could be a win for the Democrats if they say, "aren't you glad we stopped this ridiculous idea before you lost all of your money in 2008?" They need to run on "future-proofing" entitlements. It doesn't mean cutting them, but it will mean reforming them.

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February 1, 2010 6:52 PM   

This guy is from TX, that peculiar state with high % of uninsured population that hated mandates and HCR as it was proposed.

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February 1, 2010 6:52 PM   

The problem with market based solutions is that markets crash, with increasing frequency. How many market meltdowns has the last 15 years seen, including our most recent recession?

A privatized, market based solution would have meant that everyone retiring in 2008 - 2010 would have been unable to rely on Social Security, as the market would have devoured their benefits.

If Hensarling wants to put today's workers out in the cold tomorrow, he should just "man up" and say so.

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February 1, 2010 6:53 PM   

Yep...great plan Jim....errr Jeb. Turn over more of our money to the people that helped destroy our economy. I am sure the American people will love that plan. Hey America!! Do you think Wall Street deserves even more of your money?

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February 1, 2010 6:56 PM    in reply to Libertine

I don't. But I think the bottomless pit called our government deserves it even less.

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February 1, 2010 7:08 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

I trust government much more than the Madoff's of Wall Street. In fact all the entitlement programs can be fully funded, with increased tax revenues and savings from ending the interdiction/incarceration efforts, if we end the prohibition on Marijuana. The absolute worse thing to do is give it to the high rollers on Wall Street to gamble with. Just like home prices could not keep on rising forever the markets will not continually rise.

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February 1, 2010 7:25 PM    in reply to Libertine

I trust myself more, so I don't need a nanny from Washington or Wall St tell me what to do. But then you know, different strokes for different folks. So we all do what you decide.

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February 1, 2010 7:30 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

You are delusional if you think you will get that $$. If anything Wall Street had dibs on it first...as Jim Hensarling makes clear and the R's will ensure happens. Do you really think the R's want you to get that $$? They've tried funneling it to the Street once already. So for right now the best option is still the government...

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February 1, 2010 7:32 PM    in reply to Libertine

the ultra liberal NYT doesn't think so. in fact i'm following their advice on improving my income in retirement.

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February 1, 2010 7:36 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

Ahhh the old stand-by the canard that the NYT is "ultra-liberal". Your rhetoric is like Dorian Gray... never changes after years of growing stale and is a work of fiction.

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February 1, 2010 7:39 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

The NYT is ultra-liberal? Maybe on social issues but not economic ones. The home of Judith Miller, William Kristol, Bill Safire? I just think the NYT is trying to out Wall Street Journal the Wall Street Journal...NY is still the Street's home base.

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February 1, 2010 7:45 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

Judith Miller....

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February 1, 2010 8:39 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

Wait, aren't you the guy who called Sarah Palin a military position?

Oh, sorry, that was a different lying idiot.

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February 2, 2010 8:50 AM    in reply to farnsworth

I was hoping you could come up with your own joke instead of trying to find a way to use someone else's. Oh well, I'll be sure to lower my expectations in the future.

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February 2, 2010 9:42 AM    in reply to Lalo35adm

I laughed at your joke, fyi.

This one too. ;-)

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February 1, 2010 7:34 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

You should move to Afghanistan then. They have no taxes, no central government, love guns, and hate gays and Washington D.C. as much as you do. You'll love the hummus.

BTW, we tried your way for generations back in the day. It was called the era of the robber baron.

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February 1, 2010 10:47 PM    in reply to Lestatdelc

Hey, hummus is Lebanese. I think they eat a lot of goat in Afghanistan.

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February 1, 2010 7:20 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

Why even bother to read a lefty political blog when you harbor such despicably nihilistic sentiments?

Sorry, shouldn't feed the troll.

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February 1, 2010 8:06 PM    in reply to Lalo35adm

newsflash...this is a representative democracy, we are "the government", shithead.

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February 1, 2010 10:44 PM    in reply to Libertine

LOL. Love the Jim/Jeb (or is it Jed?) reference. What a diss! What a dissworthy patsy.

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February 1, 2010 7:04 PM   

Please tell me why would any rational human being want to turn Social Security over to the private sector? What is the "private sector's" track record? As an alternative response to this inane ans sucidial proposal, I recomment we NATIONALIZE BANKS!!

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February 1, 2010 11:43 PM    in reply to truthlaser

The key word in your question was "rational". Think about it.

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February 1, 2010 7:11 PM   

Fix Medicare by growing it down to younger peoplem, including allowing buy-ins for older employees of large and small businesses. First go to 55, then 40, then universal. I don't like is the grandfathering clause in the Republican proposal: Everybody above the cut-off gets a pretty good deal and everybody below gets screwed. It's also dumb politics (if it were a Democratic proposal) because the Democratic base is younger anyway. Better to cut benefits by an incremental process by which Medicare works with providers to lower the amount of care per patient, trying to separate out vital procedures from unnecesary ones. Remember how ridiculously expensive US health care is compared to other industrialized nations. Health outcomes wouldn't necesarily suffer that much.
This process may not be popular, but I think it would be a lot more popular shutting down Medicare for everybody 54 and younger and pushing them into private insurance with much reduced benefits.
The problem with Hensarling's approach is that it will inevitably (by-design) lead to Medicare being dismantled in then next 40 years as there will be no more new patients, and the existing Medicare recipients will become increasingly few, old, and feeble. All the Democrats have to do is repeat "the Republican plan to dismantle Medicare" a million times. Don't screw this up.

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February 1, 2010 7:43 PM    in reply to philogratis

I don't disagree by expanding Medicare buy in, but that has nothing to do with this GOP idiots re-hashing of the Bush agenda of FIAL when when it comes to privatizing SOcial Security.

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February 1, 2010 11:14 PM    in reply to philogratis

I really like that idea. Really, I do. Because Medicare IS the American version of single payer, with it's means-tested sister, Medicaid.

Try 1 year at a time, phase it in. Ease people into the water.

Reminds me that one time on TV, years ago, I heard a woman from France, I think it was, saying that the reason government programs are so unpopular in the US of A is because they are means-tested.

Everyone in France can send their children to government-run day care. But if they want to send them to private day care, and they can afford it, fine.

In my area of Heaven on Earth, really rich communities have super-duper special government-funded schools, because they form parents' committies and "donate" to arts, sports, etc. But I tell you what, most of them aren't paying OR giving anything close to $30,000 per kid.

She was absolutely friggin' right. The rich can pay. The poor get it free, and so do the old. So who's left paying full boat? the MIDDLE.

And that's where the tea party is hitting on all cylinders.

But that's also where I'M coming from, and I think these economic issues could be better articulated by my non-organized party.

And I think the Big-O just started to do it.

Hope.

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February 2, 2010 12:11 AM    in reply to philogratis

Medicare beneficiaries receive a large subsidy from the tax payers. Those on part A from workers payroll taxes, and those on part B & D from general revenues. The buy-in therefore would not be cheap, since it assumes no subsidy. Medicare (A&B) has no catastrophic coverage. THat would cost extra, which is why almost all medicare recipients have supplemental coverage.

And then you have to fix all the things that are wrong with medicare, for example the things that make it's costs rise about as fast as private health insurance.

Other than that, it's a great idea.

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February 1, 2010 7:15 PM   

Well this is NOT the way to get re-elected.

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February 1, 2010 7:21 PM   

The Dems should grab that soundbite and do what the Republicans would do, which is to scare the hell out of seniors. Put the ad in heavy rotation and snuff out the Republicans delusion of taking back the majority. Actually, what the Dems should do is force them to filibuster. I didn't know this until I heard Doris Kearns Goodwin say that the Republicans would not be allowed to go to the bathroom and couldn't have anything to eat. I think she said they could have water or milk. Could you just see these geezers with their prostate's swelling? All the Dems should get those giant slurpy cups from Seven 11 and fill them with water to torture these clowns. As for the Haggs, their bladders only get worse as they've aged. That would be must see tv!

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February 1, 2010 7:23 PM   

Cut benefits, eliminate any guarantee of benefits, and turn your social security money over to the Wall Street financiers who showed such wisdom and fiscal responsibility over the past few years. Brilliant! The Dems now have their first line of attack.

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February 1, 2010 7:35 PM   

This is such a bad BS idea and the only worthy to reply to its proponents telling them to gotohell.
No discussion, no argument. You want to privatize social security?
You had better be armed cause I dont want to shot an unarmed a- hole.

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February 1, 2010 7:37 PM   

"In the name of deficit reduction, House Republicans are going back to the Social Security well, offering budget proposals similar to those President George W. Bush proposed after his 2004 re-election that would privatize Social Security accounts and reduce cost of living adjustments."

What the...are you serious?
This guy has lost his mind!
Privatizing Social Security?
Is this guy serious?
Imagine where we would be at today if Bush was successful in privatizing social securtiy...entire segments of our elderly society would be so thoroughly screwed that no amount of any government social assistance would dig them out. I think this just proves one thing...the Republicans really are America's village idiot.

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February 2, 2010 9:11 AM    in reply to sheerahkahn

Hensarling isn't nuts - he's crazy like a fox. He just secured a boat load of money for advertising for his next campaign. If you think the insurance industry had money to fight health care reform.....you aint seen nothin yet. The banking industry has more money than God.....and they will start flexing their muscle like never before. Look at the money they poured into Scott Brown's Mass. election.....and that was just as the supreme court was ruling on corp. campaign advertising $'s. This is all political dialing for dollars.....and to hell with what's best for our common citizens or the majority (we are no longer a democracy).

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February 1, 2010 7:42 PM   

I only have one objection: "screw over the middle class and poor" is hardly a new GOP position, don't you think?

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February 1, 2010 9:01 PM    in reply to dougom

Point taken, but the wrap it into the pitch that if we give the rich folks enough money while screwing the middle-class you will reap the benefits when you become "rich".

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February 1, 2010 11:18 PM    in reply to dougom

Word.

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February 1, 2010 7:46 PM   

He was given a free pass this a.m. by that major apologist Jo(k)e Scarborough who almost broke his neck to get Hensarling on TV to smackdown Obama (one sided of course) and recover from his bitch-slapping from the day before at Q&A. MSNBC has this schizophrenic nature of allowing a turd smear like Scarborough manipulate the news for 3 hours every morning then roll the progreesives out in the PM.

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February 2, 2010 9:09 AM    in reply to Marinus van der Lubbe

Good morning Marinus. You're brave just to watch Scarborough. I stopped watching during the election. There isn't a whole brain amongst the whole bunch. Joe is a snarky asshole and Mika is pathetic. The others are the butt boys who are there to agree and laugh at their stupidity.

How's the weather?

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February 2, 2010 1:51 PM    in reply to lousgirl84

the weather is as weak as SailorPenisLove's missives in TPM. Supposed to rain later then ice up again, as tight as space between Michelle Bachman's oxygen tube and brain.
xx

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February 1, 2010 7:54 PM   

For 2009, the employee's share is 6.2% of gross compensation up to a limit of $106,800 of compensation (resulting in a maximum tax of $6,621.60)

Since Wall Street caused many Seniors and Retirees and Pension Recipients to Lose tons of money and their Future Financial Security - Raise the Cap to $200,000 and make those Wall Streeters contribute more.

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February 1, 2010 8:02 PM    in reply to ally

What is the problem (other than resistance from the Robber Barons) to just eliminating the cap altogether?

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February 1, 2010 8:12 PM    in reply to dougom

too simple, doesn't fit with the bs "CRISIS, WE MUST CUT AND PRIVATIZE!" GOP/Media talking points.

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February 1, 2010 8:13 PM    in reply to human

p.s. raising the retirement age a couple of years wouldn't be much of a problem either, but that's the other part of the relatively simple solution that everyone on the right goes out of their way to avoid.

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February 1, 2010 9:45 PM    in reply to human

Naomi Klein called it in "The Shock Doctrine".

We have a crisis (or can at least make people think we have one), so know is the time to ram through a policy change that nobody in their right mind would otherwise go for, but will make Jeb's corporate masters a lot of money.

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February 2, 2010 1:25 AM    in reply to dougom

That's a damn big "other than"

You know, you and Halliburton have the equal right to spend multi-millions of dollars on attack ads.

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February 2, 2010 11:08 AM    in reply to dougom

"What is the problem (other than resistance from the Robber Barons) to just eliminating the cap altogether?"

The cap was deliberately designed to provide political insulation to Social Security. It is what prevented the juice from leaking out of The Third Rail of American Politics. Since Social Security did not fundamentally draw on General Fund revenues it was to that degree protected from the old adage "He who pays the piper decides the tune". Social Security works precisely BECAUSE the Robber Barons were never called to pay for it, once they are it transforms from worker financed insurance to simple tax payer funded welfare and so would be exposed every year to cuts during the Appropriations process.

The payroll cap has erected a protective wall around Social Security for 70 years. Putting a partial or complete hole in that wall by raising or eliminating the cap is the same kind of great idea the Trojans had when they dragged that gift Horse through the Gates. Poof ten years of successful defense of their city made moot overnight.

Most of the cap increase proposals out there in practice mean a big hit to the professional classes who earn more than $106,000 while giving those who earn their income from capital a free pass (capital gains are not subject to FICA). It is a political power play designed to drive a wedge between the upper middle class and the working class all to the benefit of the very wealthy.

It sounds good, it looks progressive, seems like a can't miss proposition. Which is what they thought about the Trojan Horse. Beware of Greeks bearing gifts (Pete G Peterson's father was a Greek immigrant who changed the family name from Petraeus.)

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February 2, 2010 1:48 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

You are being overly dramatic. Especially if any increase in taxable wages is also credited to benefits.

So why hasn't support for Medicare, which had it's tax cap removed in the early 90's, plummeted?

By the way, the percent of wage earners with income above the cap was between 25-30% from 1950 until 1972 when it fell to 20% and then fell 10% by the end of the 70's. Starting in the early 80's when the tax cap was indexed to average wages, about 6% of all wage earners have earnings above the cap in a given year. So the wedge apparently has been pushed in quite deep already.

As for the share of wages subject to tax, in 1937 it was above 90% and fell to 80% by 1950 before falling to 70 in 1965, then raised back to 80 percent in 1966 and then gradually rising to 90% again by 1982 and now falling gradually down to around 83%.

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February 2, 2010 3:49 PM    in reply to Economides

I have not seen a proposal that would apply those increases to benefits.

And I know all those percentages.

As to Medicare. First I think most people understand that what you get out of Medicare may not be proportionate to what you put in, in fact if you are extraordinarily lucky or in some cases extraordinarily unlucky you may hardly use it at all. And I think there are a lot of people sympathetic to the idea of universal coverage and don't mind paying taxes for other people's medical care.

But paying extra taxes simply to pay for someone's retirement, particularly if those taxes are not shared, while KNOWING you will get nothing for it is I think different. And in any event not particularly needed when considered in the context of other social and economic justice needs.

Social Security has pretty much accomplished its goals, particularly when it was supplemented with Medicare. I just think it time we devoted our efforts to meeting the health and education needs of the young and in enabling workers to earn enough money so that they too can fund their retirement. There isn't a lot about this country that wouldn't be better if we could only increase real wages for people making five digit incomes.

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February 2, 2010 4:46 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

Interesting tap dance on why subsidized Medicare retains it's legitimacy but subsidized retirement would not. I just don't buy it. I am waiting to see empirical evidence for your prediciton. Do we have any?

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February 1, 2010 7:58 PM   

"Jim, I looked this over with experts and they say it's not going to help us meet our goals."

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February 1, 2010 9:46 PM    in reply to jeffgee

It's worse than that .... He's dead Jim.

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February 1, 2010 7:59 PM   

I hope the republicans try and resurrect this issue because it is revelatory of their true intent and counters the populist foothold they are trying to establish. This idea is such a nonstarter for most working people. When you see the stats on how many people rely primarily on SS for their retirement, this proposal is downright scary to them, and it will fall flat, as it did when Dubbya tried to sell it 5 years ago.
So go for it! Unleash those market forces and let us all retire in comfort!

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February 1, 2010 8:02 PM   

So the disabled can go suck it while we piss the money away in exchange for some as yet undiscovered worthless derivative. Is that about right, Jebbie?

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February 1, 2010 8:08 PM   

Does this guy Hensarling want another ass kicking or what?

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February 1, 2010 8:10 PM   

I really hope the GOP goes back to pushing this bs--I'm sure I'm not the only person under 55, who's been paying social security taxes for over twenty years, who would get screwed by this slash and burn/privatization plan.
As others have noted, the solution to the bullshit social security "crisis" is so much simpler and less drastic, but of course that wouldn't allow the Republiscum to hand our savings over to Wall Street, so neither they nor their enablers in the corporate "liberal" media ever mention this.

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February 1, 2010 8:23 PM   

Boy that sounds like a winning platform

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February 1, 2010 8:25 PM   

The rational part of me says this is horrible politics for the GOP and leaves the door wide open for the Dems. Then I remember: this is the United States of America in the year 2010. My prediction: by November the American public will be rabidly anti-Social Security, including many senior citizens living on fixed incomes. GOP pols will claim that Obama wants to have our Social Security numbers tatooed on our wrists, George Stephanopoulis will nod his head.

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February 2, 2010 1:28 AM    in reply to Max Thrax

Keep the Government OUT of my Social Security!

You saw it here first.

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February 1, 2010 8:26 PM   

The day this happens will be the day I stop paying Social Security. I'm 24...It won't be there by the time I need it. It will have been "privatized" into some corporation's pocket.

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February 1, 2010 8:34 PM    in reply to Kuyleh

It's not going to be there for you as it is right now. If you are counting on SS for you retirement then you are somewhat delusional

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February 1, 2010 8:56 PM    in reply to Moindie

no, not "as it is now", but with relatively minor changes that don't involve turning it over to the AIGs of the world. But you know that, don't you?

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February 1, 2010 9:02 PM    in reply to Moindie

Nonsense.

Social Security would be more than fiscal sound in perpetuity if we simply eliminated the cap on how much of your income is subject to FICA withholding.

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February 2, 2010 11:23 AM    in reply to Moindie

"It's not going to be there for you as it is right now. If you are counting on SS for you retirement then you are somewhat delusional"

You sir are an idiot. As long as FICA is being collected Social Security can continue to pay out a certain level of benefits, it can't go 'bankrupt' in the sense of 'no check for me'. You clearly have not spent ten seconds thinking about this.

Under the current schedule the average beneficiary of Social Security will be collecting a benefit in 2036 of about 160% in real terms of a similarly situated beneficiary. Under current projections if nothing is done that benefit would have to be cut by 25% in 2037. But as Prof Rosser of JMU pointed out long ago and Dean Baker in his book "Phony Crisis" 25% of 160% = 120%.

Under quite pessimistic economic assumptions that assume truly craptacular economic growth rates going forward (ultimate productivity 1.7%, Real GDP 2.1%, Real Wage 1.0%) the beneficiary of 2038 would STILL get a 20% better basket or real goods from his SS check than my Mom gets today. And if younger workers and or the government simply decided to target ultimate productivity of 2.1%, Real GDP at 2.8%, and Real Wage at 1.7% (not particularly high numbers by historical standards) then Social Security self funds with no changes at all.

Maybe I am delusional but I prefer to think of myself as someone who actually took the time to check the numbers rather than repeating lazy ass talking points ultimately derived from Cato and AEI.

Social Security will be there in 2040 unless the assholes convince you to listen to idiots who say that it won't based on nothing at all. And its state of health in that year depends crucially on whether the next generation cares enough to put down the cheetos, get off the couch and grow the economy like your parents and grandparents did. Or I guess you could sit back and whine about the Boomers instead.

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February 1, 2010 8:30 PM   

Apparently nobody else has noticed, so I'll put on the Admiral Akbar hat and say: IT'S A TRAP!

The idea is to propose utterly ridiculous "deficit control" policies, then campaign on the idea that Democrats don't want to listen to Rethuglican ideas about how to control the deficit.

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February 1, 2010 9:03 PM    in reply to Matt Jones

But we are listening. Just because we reject bankrupt stupid ideas after listening to them doesn't mean we don't listen.

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February 2, 2010 1:33 AM    in reply to Matt Jones

I'd think that WAS their strategy, but when they bring out privatizing Social Security ... I think the Dems are not only interested in "listening" to it, I think they're interested in shouting it loudly from the rooftops

"Republicans STILL think we should turn Social Security over to Goldman Sachs and Wall Street! What do YOU think?"

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February 1, 2010 9:22 PM   

So this is why most Republican consistently refuse to offer actual alternative proposals to Obama's agenda. That;s one dumb Jeb...

http://www.political-buzz.com/

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February 1, 2010 9:29 PM   

I saw this and also Obama at the GOP where he missed an opportunity to go for the jugular on GOP budget guru Paul Ryan. Ryan has the same plan for Medicare: People now under 55 would have the federal government contribution to their Medicare premiums held constant. In other words, the individual Medicare policyholder will then have to make up the difference as the cost of health insurance keeps going up.

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February 1, 2010 9:30 PM   

After what the private market just did to so many people's money this guy must have just crawled out from under a rock. Who do we make the check out to? AIG, Goldman Sax, I know Bernie Madof!
Why does no one say raise the tax ceiling for more funding? Give a break to the self employed, (under a certain level) and keep the funds out of general revenues.

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February 1, 2010 9:41 PM   

There is no way this idea goes anywhere. I'd love to see the Repubs waste time and energy campaigning & trying to sell this one.

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February 1, 2010 9:47 PM   

And when these over leveraged "private" caretakers lose all the money who's there to bail em out? Do we go back to pre 1930's attitudes? Let the old, poor and sick die on the side of the roads?
Eat the Rich!

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February 1, 2010 9:49 PM   

What's really fun is that the GOP is not telling you everything about why they want to privatize the trust fund. There is no money in the trust fund.

You see... Back in the 80's their icon Reagan, (with Greenspan's help), emptied the trust fund of cash and replaced it all with set rate Treasury Bonds.

http://www.socsec.org/publications.asp?pubid=540

That's right, about 23% of U.S. debt is held by the social secuirty administration. So their thinking is... By privatizing they can sell off the bonds, use the money for whatever, (like Reagan), and wipe the slate clean. Who cares if the market tanks and wipes out peoples accounts. Theirs hands will be clean and they can all lament about the bad bankers and how they took your money.

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February 1, 2010 10:03 PM    in reply to Serine

Oh and if you want some real fun check out figure 2 at the bottom of the link above. It shows the rise and fall of the national debt from 1953-2005 by President.

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February 2, 2010 1:37 AM    in reply to Serine

Use the Social Security money (saved up by all of us for the future) so they could CUT taxes on the RICH, Right NOW. The friggin' robbed the Widows and Orphans, and they're asking to do it again!

Don't look at the bright, shiny objects.

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February 2, 2010 11:41 AM    in reply to Serine

Serine think before you drink.

Do you believe there was really a day when the Trust Fund was actually made up of cash dollars stacked in a warehouse? If not what the hell would "take the cash out of the Trust Fund" even mean?

Plus there was no cash in the Trust Fund in the early 80's. Social Security started running persistent cash deficits starting in 1971, as the set rate Bonds in the Trust Funds (because they were always Treasuries and never cash) had to be redeemed. By the early 80's the Trust Fund balances were down under $25 billion and the Trust Fund Ratio (reserves expressed as a function of time) under 15 meaning around 8 weeks of reserve.

The fix signed off by the Greenspan Commission and signed into law worked to slowly build Social Security back to its mandated minimum of a TF of 100 or one year of reserves, a reserve that by law had to be held in interest earning Treasuries. By 1988 the TF balance was only up to $110 billion which represented a TF ratio of 41. It was only in 1992 that the TF was back up near 100 with a total balance of $331 billion.

Look Reagan did try to kill Social Security in 1981. He failed. And in 1983 went along with a plan that nursed it back to health over the next ten years. The notion that something underhanded went on in the 1980s is just simple propaganda put out by the enemies of Social Security. You just bit on the con here.

The very first Social Security Report was from the "Trustees of the Social Security Trust Fund" and its assets have always been held in some sort of Treasuries. This wasn't some sort of innovation by Reagan and Greenspan, that is simple though destructive fantasy.

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February 2, 2010 10:33 PM    in reply to Bruce Webb

Sorry Bruce but I don't drink enough to make this stuff up. This info is part of the SSA archives.

By Cash the SSA means Public Issues. These were bonds that could be bought and sold on the open market.

The only other Bonds the SSA can hold are what are called Special Issues. These bonds are issued the Treasury and can only be redeemed by the Treasury. (Think U.S. debt here)

So without getting too detailed here is how it went down.

1. Sold off all the Public bonds. (cashed if you will)

2. Used the money to pay for Reagans tax cuts.

3. Replaced the Public bonds with Special issues. Which effectively transferred a part of the U.S. debt, over to the SSA. Current holdings: $2,318,780,487,000. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/cgi-bin/investheld.cgi

4. Used a sliding increased for payroll taxes from 12.8 (1980) to 15.3 (1990). (This reflects 7.65 percent {6.2 percent for SS} for both the employer and the employee and maximum earnings subject to tax were $50,400. Check the Tax Reform Act

Under current law incoming funds are first used to pay claims, and whatever left over is used to buy Special Issues. The only way for SS to go broke is for the U.S. to under go a total crash or for the Government to decide it’s not going to honor it’s debt to SSA. (Like that’s going to happen.)

By privatizing SS critics hope to recoup over 2 trillion dollars, turn over a massive amount of capital to certain brokerage houses, and wash their hands of all the workers and poor people who may one day depend on the SSA. You’re dealing with what we in class call ‘I’ll kill you money.’ This is a major source of funds. You can bet that Wall Street, Big Banks, and some of our Congress are all trying to find a way to get their hands on it.

And while it was not innovation it was a case economic of slight of hand. By removing the marketable bonds they in effect did take all the cash out of the SSA.

P.S. I’m not a critic of Social Security, nor am I a policy wonk with too much time on his hands. We’re studying SSA in Economics, which is one of the most boring classes in the world. (smile)

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February 1, 2010 10:07 PM   

guys like Hensarling can really depress a fella. how many times do we have to repeat past mistakes in thinking.

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February 1, 2010 10:39 PM   

Jeb is following up on his bang-up performance with Obama Friday at the Q&A.

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February 1, 2010 11:13 PM   

Let it go. Wait until more people start saying it. Like their presidential candidates.

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February 1, 2010 11:24 PM   

They had better keep their hands off Social Security, or the fury they unleash is going to make the Tea Party adventure they enjoyed so much last summer seem like the good old days.

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February 1, 2010 11:56 PM   

What an idiot.

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February 1, 2010 11:56 PM   

Why hasn't sailormanlove been around to defend this newest dim bulb in the republican low watt chandelier? I can't wait to tell my brother about this. I squawked so much about Bush wanting to try it no one in my family dares mention Social Security and private in the same day around me! Jeb probably thinks he is a genius.

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February 2, 2010 12:16 AM   

Can we give Obama credit for baiting the republicans into talking about their ideas. THey were better off being the party of "NO" until he publicly ridiculed them for it in the SOTU and his televised Q&A. So now they are coming out, full of bluster, with their crack pot ideas to radically undo the major underpinnings of our social economy. Total morons, they are.

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February 2, 2010 12:30 AM   

Did anyone notice how terrible Matthews was with this guy. Matthews kept saying he wanted to cut Social Security benefits. Over and over and over again. Matthews wasn't listening to the guy. Though I think someone finally straightened him out after a break.

The guy was saying end Social Security, not just cut benefits. He was saying it's time to do away with it and go with personal savings accounts. Pissed me off to no end that Matthews didn't call it what it was, or mention the fact that it would cost literally trillions of dollars to make the transition. Tax payers would pay trillions to go to a privatized system, and it would probably still fail miserably.

The answer is to get serious about cutting defense spending, raising taxes on the rich, closing loopholes in corporate taxes, and go to Medicare for All, without one iota of privatization. Social Security will be fine.

We could balance the budget AND provide great services for Americans, if politicians had the guts. But they don't, so we won't.

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February 2, 2010 1:41 AM    in reply to cuchulain

You nailed Matthews. He does NOT listen, he waits to talk. And sometimes, often, he can't wait.

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February 2, 2010 12:32 AM   

Let's go back to the beginning. The Social Security Act was drafted by Gov. Robert Moran Jr.'s committee on economic security, under Frances Perkins, and passed by Congress as part of the New Deal. The act was an attempt to limit what were seen as dangers in the modern American life, including old age, poverty, unemployment, and the burdens of widows and fatherless children. From the start, it was an emergency measure. There were supposed to be needs tests for all of those who applied at retirement. Many were excluded from the first generation of the program. Benefits were very small. Almost from the first it expanded covering more and more people and providing more and more benefits.

The long term health of the Social Security (and Medicare System) was based on three conditions:

a)There would always be a lot more wage earners paying payroll taxes into the system than recipients of benefits.

b)The economy would continue to expand and diversify so that more and more young people would enter the work force with better and better jobs.

c)When necessary, as during a recession, the funds that provided the benefits could be supplemented through injections from the general budget (borrowing against the future, per Keynesian economics).

Where are we now?

a) There are a lot of folks in retirement and they are living longer and longer.

b) The economy stopped expanding and the U.S. is no longer the world's premiere economy.

c) Deficits and debt have been building for years and are now reaching a critical mass.

IF, Social Security and Medicare are two of the biggest items in our budget, (AND BOY ARE THEY) then the message is clear.

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February 2, 2010 1:07 AM    in reply to murphthesurf

Yes, the message is clear. It's time to increase taxes on the rich. America currently has the lowest taxation to GDP ratio in the world, and that's primarily a function of extremely low taxes on the richest Americans.

We could do several things to right that ship. FICA tax is capped for Social Security at roughly 105K. That means all earnings above that amount are not subject to FICA. Which means, that if someone makes roughly a million a year, they pay FICA on just 10% of their wages, while the person who makes just 10% of a million pays FICA on 100% of his or her wages. That's not right.

So, we can lift the ceiling entirely, and Social Security is in great shape for generations.

Or, we can get radical, and do the right thing: Move both Medicare and Social Security into the general budget, end the FICA trust fund, which has been raided to pay for things like Defense since 1969, and increase taxes on the wealthy to pay for the new addition.

Current workers pay for current retirees right now. Moving everything into the general budget would just make all of that transparent and would prevent raids on Medicare and Social Security funds. To me, that's the most sensible thing to do.

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February 2, 2010 1:38 AM    in reply to cuchulain

I think you are correct. The problem- the lawmakers are in bed with the wealthy. HELL! Most of them are the wealthy! Median income in the Senate is $1.7 million a year, net assets median is $14.2 million. In the House, the median is $825,000 a year with assets at $2.8 million.

Add in what it takes to run and win---MONEY, MONEY, MONEY, and BIG Business, Labor, Special Interest (and now with NO LIMIT) feed the fire. So who owes who?

How do we get the change?

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February 2, 2010 1:45 AM    in reply to murphthesurf

Rather than being in bed with them, which implies some equality, I think it's more accurate to say they are under the boot of the wealthy.

But it must also be recognized is that THE number one sign of success in American culture is wealth. Mo money, mo money, mo money.

If you can't BE wealthy, the next best thing it to be as close to them as possible even if it means their dog on a leash.

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February 2, 2010 1:18 AM    in reply to murphthesurf

So raise taxes. Big whoop.

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February 2, 2010 9:03 AM   

Obviously, Rep. Hensarling just secured a boat load of advertising money for his political campaign.

Our Reps and Senators aren't just in bed with the wealthy, regardless of political party, they are part of the wealthy class. 90% of the house and senate are millionaires!

If SS was privatized during this (it's not over yet) financial crisis, even more citizens would have lost their retirement savings to our genius bankers.

Social security would be solvent if a few small things were changed:
1) When the government borrowed from SS to fund the deficit, it paid the same interest rate that it pays the Chinese or the big US banks for borrowing money. But because SS is for avg. Americans, we will NEVER get a market rate on what they borrow from OUR pot.
2) Raise the FICA limit so that even the super rich pay the same as the working stiff. Some might call that a tax increase......but it's really saying the rich has to pay just as much as the working stiff....
3) Require all government employees (especially the white house, the senate, and the house) to move into the social security system.....from their very generous government retirement system. If they were in this pot, it would be fixed and it would be solvent forever. But the millionaires in DC (including this bozo Hensarling) want to be treated better than the rest of us.....and so they'll continue to defend their own little GOVERNMENT plan while pushing to have our plan handed to greedy and corrupt banksters!

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February 2, 2010 9:27 AM   

If I wanted to be 'unchristian' about it, I would welcome all those who subscribe to the Republican vision of greatly reducing Medicare benefits and investing your SS in the stock market. Having lost literally 2 years of survival money from the annuity I depend upon because of the banking/Wall St debacle and being forced to drop the extremely expensive $10,000 deductible insurance policy I had but could never afford to use...the Republican plan seems destined to bring countless seniors to dwell with me on the streets. Maybe the Republican administration could be convinced to offer us some horribly polluted land were we could form car and cardboard box 'retirement' cities. I'm going soon, so I'll save you a space.

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February 2, 2010 10:28 AM   

Heck with that. Privatize the military and have done with it. Cut out the middleman and let the corporatocracy pay for its wars of conquest directly.

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March 12, 2010 2:59 PM   

they really need that medicare buy in
kamagra m65

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